Showing posts with label basketball. Show all posts
Showing posts with label basketball. Show all posts

Monday, March 21, 2011

NCAA Tournament Betting Notes From Las Vegas: Great Handle Throughout Vegas Books

By Micah Roberts
VegasInsider.com

Ticket writers busy
Las Vegas Sports Books have never seen the type of Madness that just passed through town over the four day weekend of the NCAA basketball tournament. For each and every employee of sports books around town, they were put to a grind like never before with the combination of never ending lines of bettors that began early and ended late.

Supervisors and Directors were put to the task of ensuring everything went smooth from their end with the ultimate goal of giving the guest their best experience possible, while also hoping to grind out a win with all the cash that came through.

There is no official stat that the state keeps immediately after these fours days of games like they do for the Super Bowl, but all indications are that the handle will be up considerably.

"Our handle over the weekend was relatively flat to last year, " said Las Vegas Hilton Executive Director Jay Kornegay, "But last years figures were inflated considerably for us due to us having big house players playing large money on the games that we didn't see this year. The great indicator for us this year was ticket counts which were up about 10%."

The volume and handle for most books were up, and every book worked harder than ever, most doing so with less labor thanks to the economic climate the city is still in. By the time Saturday's games rolled around, many ticket writers found themselves looking for the sign from the bullpen that relief was coming to close out the game, but the sign never came; they had to just keep on plugging away, punching tickets like they never had before.

"I really felt sorry for the writers, said Kornegay. "The crowds were overwhelming and was so much work for the tellers, with much of the extra efforts coming due to the new staggered schedule."

The staggered schedule spread out the games giving bettors ample time to make their wagers which created more business than what has bee seen on the same weekend over the years. However, the high volume of action didn't neccessarily equate to more win.

College basketball betting isn't as one sided with favorites like the NFL or college football is, but they still generate the most curiosity and intrique with the betting public. Thursday's opening day saw the favorites go 7-5-1 which equated to a small win for most, but still had the risk from those games heading into Friday's where the books were helped by quite a few upsets with the favorites going 5-11. The action was massive, but the hold wasn't.

When Saturday's results started getting posted there was all kinds of mounting liability with big parlays shaping up as the favorites went 7-1. One of the biggest turnarounds that went the bettors way was when San Diego State found themselves in a battle with Temple. The Aztecs were 5 1/2-point favorites and were forced to double overtime where they ended up winning by seven. Due to overtime, the total of 125 1/2 was also affected as it took the second overtime to push the total over the number, a side the majority of parlays around the city had.

"The San Diego State game was by far the worst game for our books," said Lucky's Sports Book Director Jimmy Vaccaro, "That game helped a lot of players keep their parlays alive, but when everything was tallied after Sunday's games, we had a good week."

With all of that risk carrying over to Sunday's games ready to pay out at a rate of 10 and 20-to-1, the sports books would need a miracle to get out of the day unscathed somewhat, and they got it. Almost all the favorites fell going 2-6 on the day with only Ohio State and Kansas taking care of business for the bettors while their popular choices of Syracuse, Purdue, Notre Dame and Arizona all were beat straight up.

After everything was tallied, the overall win results were mixed around Las Vegas, but the one constant was that the action was non-stop like never seen before. After talking with a few sports book Directors in town, I could hear the exhausted tone in their voice as if they had just run a marathon. And in many ways, they had just run one, a four day mental marathon.

Every one who worked in the sports book last weekend, from the top, all the way down to the bottom, deserves a round of applause for putting on arguably one of the most entertaining shows Las Vegas visitors could witness over the weekend.

The money was flowing freely from the bettors and the results from that cash flow is going to be quite apparent in all other aspects of casino operations as well.

Getting Value in Futures with Kansas
The Sweet 16 offers all kinds of variety that we all crave for March Madness giving us a nice mix of favorites with three No. 1 seeds still alive along with some Cinderella's in the making with five teams seeded eighth or higher. Because of all the upsets, you can see the math in the possible matchups changing the future odds drastically at the Las Vegas Hilton.

The team that stands out the most is Kansas in their region where they'll face at least two Cinderella stories if they hope to make the Final Four. Kansas came into the tournament as the third choice at 5-to-1, but are now co-favorites to win it all with Duke and Ohio State at 5-to-2, both of whom have a much more difficult road ahead of them than Kansas.

The Buckeyes have to beat Kentucky and then possibly Norh Carolina to make it while Duke has to face Arizona and then either No. 2 seed San Diego State or No. 3 seed Connecticut. Kansas, meanwhile, has the luxury of playing a No. 12 seed and then either a No. 11 or No. 10 seed to make the Final Four, a much easier road to navigate than their two co-favorites.

Kansas will be huge favorites in their next two games and then a considerable favorite in the Final Four semi-final match. Should they make the final, they would be favored over everyone but Ohio State which makes the four game money-line parlay tough to match what the Hilton is offering now.

Usually with favorites at this stage, it's tough to get value on the futures and the best method is to bet each game on the money-line and roll over the winnings. In this case, Kansas does have upside value, especially if Ohio State or Duke don't make the Championship game.

VCU says "That That!"
One of the greatest stories of the tournament thus far has been the path paved by Virginia Commonwealth, becoming the first team ever to win three games in the first week of play. It was only a week ago that everyone in the nation with any opinion on college basketball felt that
VCU didn't belong as one of the top 68 teams in the nation, but they have gone on to prove them all wrong with their play on the big stage. Perhaps all the talk and attention they were getting nationally -- for not belonging -- inspired them to play at their best.

The Colonial conference gave a great showing for themselves with George Mason taking out Villanova before losing to top seeded Ohio State and then Old Dominion took Butler, a team in the sweet 16, to the final seconds of their first round game. It's kind of ironic that a conference like Big East that had 11 teams make the tournament now have as many teams alive in the tournament as the city of Richmond, VA has.

Rebel Yell
Having watched UNLV play in almost every game since the early 80's, I can't remember many losses -- maybe only Duke in the Final Four -- I was more disappointed then their 73-62 loss to Illinois, a game that wasn't as close as the score suggests. The Illini shot almost 60% from the field, but committed 15 turnovers and still made the Rebels look like they were a team that didn't belong in the final 68. Once Illionis got out to hefty lead early on, it was as if the big stage lights had the Rebels forgetting everything they did to get them there, mainly their defense. Once their confidence was shattered, they continually made poor decisions and couldn't make a basket.

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

College Notebook: Football Winding Down While Big Hoop Matchups Begin


College Notebook by Micah Roberts
Gaming Today Las Vegas

Six college football teams remain unbeaten. After this weekend, there will be at least five with the possibility of four remaining going into the Bowl season. It’s very possible that at season’s end we could be looking at the most unbeaten teams since 1951 when four teams all ran the table.

Bowl invitations will begin to be officially announced following this week’s games, but the matchups for most of them appear to be nearly set with a few variations on what happens Saturday.

There are a lot of mediocre teams going bowling this season, but there is also the possibility of having some very intriguing match-ups, pairing both opposites and similar squads.

How does Nevada vs. Houston sound in the Hawaii Bowl, or BYU-Oregon State in the Las Vegas Bowl, or USC-Nebraska in the Holiday Bowl? Those all look like outstanding match-ups.

Here’s a look at this season’s possible BCS Bowl pairings:

Fiesta Bowl: Boise State appears to be set for a BCS Bowl invitation against Penn State or Iowa.

Sugar Bowl will feature the SEC title game loser, Alabama or Florida, against Cincinnati.

Orange Bowl will get the ACC title game winner, likely Georgia Tech, against TCU.

Rose Bowl: Ohio State is set to play the PAC-10 winner, either Oregon or Oregon State.

BCS Championship Game: Should Texas get by Nebraska this week, they’ll face the winner of the SEC title game, either Florida or Alabama.

A few upsets this week could drastically change the landscape. Should Texas lose, would that mean that TCU, a non-BCS conference team and highest ranked, would get the call to play either Florida or Alabama for the title?

Cincinnati has one last week to impress against a tough opponent in Pittsburgh while TCU is finished for the year. We’ve seen teams hop over ones that are idle following impressive wins and somehow that seems like the scenario that could occur this week.

But Texas can’t lose, can they?

Classless Pete Carroll

With 50 seconds remaining in Saturday’s UCLA-USC game, and the Trojans leading 21-7, USC Coach Pete Carroll said the game wasn’t over. Rather than kneeling down and running the clock, Carroll called for a deep post play running the score up to 28-7. In what had been a defensive struggle all night for both teams, the pass was the best thrown ball of the night for either side.

The move to run it up oddly comes one week after Carroll was irritated with Stanford’s Jim Harbaugh for doing something similar to USC the week before.

The crowds in the sports books loved it. While the sharps had bet UCLA +14 down to 12, most of the small money parlays had USC.

College Basketball Notes

Usually we have to wait until March to see great stories unfold with small-school squads taking down the powerhouses, but we’re already getting a preview of what’s to come with Portland who now has taken down Oregon, UCLA and Minnesota, bumping their record to 5-0 prior to their Sunday night game against No. 8 West Virginia.

The Las Vegas home crowd hasn’t been as deafening as it was Saturday against No. 16 Louisville since the 1980’s. Louisville came in as 2-point favorites and were beaten soundly for most of the game until making a late rally. The Rebels appear to have serious potential to be a major player in the scheme of things this year.

How about the week North Carolina has coming up. On Tuesday they welcome Michigan State and then fly to Lexington to play an equally tough foe in Kentucky. Both games rank as the top must-see battles of the week.

The Miami Hurricanes were expected to finish 10th in the ACC but are off to a 7-0 start despite the low expectations. They’ll be tested this week with a visit by Minnesota and a road game at Boston College.

Look out for Purdue in Big-10 play this season. They are a very sound fundamental team that should make some noise this season. They’ll be tested by Wake Forest on Tuesday.

What’s going on in Westwood? UCLA finds itself at the bottom of the Pac-10 in early season play with losses to Fullerton, Butler, Portland and Long Beach State. However, they can right the ship quickly this week. After a long week of rest, the Bruins will welcome top-ranked Kansas on Sunday.

Washington State’s guard Klay Thompson is leading the nation in scoring at 28.3 ppg and has led the Cougars to a 7-0 start, albeit against marginal opponents. He’ll be tested this week with tough road games at Gonzaga and Kansas State.

Watch every Tuesday for a brand new College Notebook article.