Thursday, June 30, 2016

Thursday MLB Bet of Day: Jays have lost last eight at home behind Dickey

Indians can tie franchise record with 13th straight win tonight.
LAS VEGAS -- We've got a couple streaks going in opposite directions when the Indians begin a four-game series tonight at Toronto. Cleveland (47-30, +10.8 units of profit) has won 12 straight and its last lost was when the Cavaliers were down 3-2 in the NBA Finals. Should they win tonight they'll tie a franchise record 13-game win streak set in 1951 and 1942. Another Indians win would also mean that the Blue Jays (43-37, -3.1) will have lost nine straight at home behind knuckleballer R.A. Dickey.

Despite the lengthy win streak by Cleveland, Toronto still comes in as the -135 favorite to win the series. Carlos Carrasco (3-2, 2.73 ERA) opens the series tonight against Dickey (5-8, 4.23) as a -115 favorite. On Friday, Marcus Stroman will face Josh Tomlin. Saturday will see Marco Estrada against Trevor Bauer and the finale on Sunday will have J.A. Happ against Corey Kluber.

During the 12-game win streak, Cleveland's starters have gone 9-0 with a 1.91 ERA and have been able to cruise in most of the games as the offense has outscored the opposition by a 75-25 combined score.

Carrasco's last start came Saturday at Detroit where he pitched a complete-game, 6-0 shutout. The Indians have won seven of his nine starts this season and he's allowed only seven runs in five road starts (1.95 ERA).

On the other side we have Dickey who the Blue Jays have lost 11 of 16 games behind with all five wins coming on the road, including his last start at Chicago where he gave up four runs in 5.1 innings, but beat the White Sox, 10-8. His home ERA is at a Rocky 5.36.

This is a big moment for Toronto who ended a 2-6 run by winning the past two days at Colorado, but between the Indians win streak where the starters have dominated and Carrasco being a major factor in two of those 12 wins, it's hard to find any reason to support Dickey and his poor home luck at home.

Let's go with the Indians to win again tonight and also take +115 to win the series.

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