Thursday, October 8, 2015

Free College Football Picks: Iowa to continue its roll vs. Illinois

Illinois should have another rough day on road.
Line: Iowa -11
Total: 44
Time: 12 p.m. ET, ESPNU

The Hawkeyes have been a pleasant surprise so far at 5-0 (4-1 ATS), and there are a few trends to help sway the opinion that they keep their roll going at home on Saturday. The big one is Illinois being awful on the road. The Illini don't just lose, they rarely cover the spread, going 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road trips. Also, the home team in this series is 7-1 ATS in the past eight meetings, and the favorite is 9-3 ATS in the past 12 meetings.

More important than the trends, Iowa's true rating might not have found them yet, which makes laying the points in this spot a good play.

Pick: Iowa - 11
Predicted score: Iowa 31-10

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