|Bartolo Colon allowed two runs or less in eight of past nine starts.|
Line: Mets -125, total: 9
The Mets may be six games out of first-place in the NL East, but being 47-41 at the break might be exactly where they want to be. They were 47-42 at this stage last season and then went 43-30 down the stretch to win the division and eventually made the World Series. To kick off the Mets second-half run, Bartolo Colon is a -125 road favorite against the Phillies (39-47) and Jeremy Hellickson.
Colon (7-4, 3.33 ERA) didn't have his best outing last time out, but still was able to pick up the 9-7 win against the Nationals. In 4.2 innings of work, the Nats hit him harder than anyone this season tagging him for 10 hits, six runs and three homers. The outing halted an eight game run where the hefty 43-year old had allowed two runs of less while the Mets went 6-2 behind him, including outdueling Jake Arrieta July 2 in a 4-3 win against the Cubs.
Hellickson (6-6, 3.92) is currently on the best run of his season allowing one earned run in each of his past three starts -- all Philly wins. The Phillies had lost his six prior starts. He's faced the Mets twice this season and the Phils won both games, including a 5-4 win April 20 against Colon.
The Mets lost three straight before the break, but now it's go time. They're going to have to win series and games like this the rest of the way if they want postseason action again. Losing to Philly right out of the gate wouldn't be the message they want to send to their fans or themselves.
Let's go with the Mets to win and get their roll started. They should be a very profitable team over the next three weeks.