Thursday, November 25, 2010

College Football Week 13 Betting Trends


TEXAS A&M at TEXAS (Thursday, November 25)...A&M very hot with wins and covers in its last 5 TY. Horns 1-4 vs. line last 5 and no covers last 4 Big XII games. Horns 1-5 vs. line last 6 as Big XII host. Ags have covered 4 of last 5 in series. Tech edge-A&M, based on team and series trends.BUFFALO at AKRON (Friday, November 26)...Zips still looking for first SU win but could be favored? Buff alo no covers last 6 or 9 of last 10 TY. Zips just 2-9 vs. line last 11 as host.Tech edge-slight to Akron, based on Buffalo spread woes.
CENTRAL MICHIGAN at TOLEDO (Friday, November 26)...Ugh! CMU has covered 5 of last 6 meetings but that was mostly when Chips were a MAC power, which they aren't TY. CMU 2-5 vs. line last 7 TY although Chips have covered their last 2. Chips are 3-2 as road dog TY, however. Rockets covering every other game their last 6, trend indicates L this week. Tech edge-slight to CMU, based on serie s trends.
WESTERN MICHIGAN at BOWLING GREEN (Friday, November 26)...BGSU no covers last 3 at Doyt-Perry Stadium TY and just 9-18 vs. line as host since 2005. Tech edge-WMU, based on BGSU home woes.
NORTHERN ILLINOIS at EASTERN MICHIGAN (Friday, November 26)...NIU continues tremendous roll, now 8-1 vs. mark last 9 on board T Y. Huskies have won and covered last 2 vs., EMU by combined 87-6 score and have held Eagles to single digits in 4 of last 5 meetings. Eagles 1-10 vs. number last 11 vs. MAC at Ypsilanti. Tech edge-NIU, based on team and series trends.
WEST VIRGINIA at PITT (Friday, November 26)...Brawl! Last three Brawls all "under." Also, the last three have all been decided by 4 or fewer. If Stew chalk note that he has covered 5 of last 7 in role TY. Stache 7-2 vs. line last 9 at He nz Field vs. Big East foes. Tech edge-slight to Pitt, based on team trends.
LOUISVILLE at RUTGERS (Friday, November 26)...UL needs win for bowl Rutgers needs two more wins. Schiano in midst of awful 2-8 spread run TY, and has no covers last 6 as host (includes Meadowlands vs. Army). Charlie Strong 3-1 vs. line away LY. Tech edge-UL, based on Rutgers negat ives.
OHIO at KENT STATE ( Friday, November 26)...Solich has covered last 2 and 7 of last 8 on board. Road team has covered last 5 and 9 of last 10 meetings. Bobcats have covered last 5 and 6 of last 7 at Dix Stadium. Flashes 2-7 vs. line last 9 TY. Tech edge-Solich, based on team and series trends.
SMU at EAST CAROLINA...ECU 4-1 vs. line at home TY but has endured some humbling defeats lately. June Jones 9-2 vs. line last 11 as dog. Tech edge-SMU, if dog, based on June Jones trends.
AUBURN at ALABAMA (Friday, November 26)...Iron Bowl! Auburn has covered 4 of last 5 vs. Bama. Tide 6-1 vs. line last 7 at Tuscaloosa. Tech edge-slight to Auburn, based on series trends.
UCLA at ARIZONA STATE (Friday, November 26)...Bowl consequences, both must win out, and in ASU's case then it must hope for a waiver from NCAA. Last four "under" in series. UCLA has covered 6 of last 7 vs. Devils, but Neuheisel 1-4 vs. line as visitor TY and just 6-10 since taking over at UCLA in 2008. ASU has am azingly covered 7 of its last 8 TY and is 10-2 vs. spread last 12 at Tempe. Tech edge-ASU, based on team trends .
COLORADO at NEBRASKA (Friday, November 26)...Bowl berth on line for CU, Big XII North crown on line for Huskers. Buffs have covered last 3 in series, getting a Hail Mary at final gun to cover LY. CU no covers 4 as visitor TY. Bo Pelini no covers last 3 TY, however. Tech edge-slight to NU, based on recent CU visitor woes.
SOUTHERN MISS at TULSA (Friday, November 26)...Tulsa cover streak ended vs, UTEP but Golden Hurricane has still covered 6 of last 7 TY. Meanwhile, USM has won and covered last three impressively. USM has covered last 5 at C-USA visitor. Tech edge-slight to USM, based on road trends.
ARIZONA at OREGON (Friday , November 26)...Arizona has covered 4 of last 5 in series, although Cats just 1-6 vs. line last 7 as Pac-10 visitor. Ducks have won and covered all five at home TY, n ow 11-2 vs. spread last 13 at Autzen Stadium. Tech edge-slight to Oregon, based on team trends.
BOISE STATE at NEVADA (Friday, November 2 6)...After getting destroyed on an annual basis by Boise, Wolf Pack has played Broncos pretty tough the past three seasons, losing by only 2, 7, and 11 points. Chris Ault 26-13 vs. line at home since returning to Nevada side lines in 2004, although he's 0-3 vs. spread at Reno vs. Boise that span. Broncos have covered all five on road TY and now seven straight away since late 2009. Tech edge-slight to Boise, based on team trends.
MICHIGAN at OHIO STATE...Tressel has owned this bitter rivalry, winning last 6 SU vs. Michigan , covering 5 of those, and is 8-1 SU and 7-2 vs. line against Wolverines. Tressel 7-0 vs. line at Big Horseshoe TY . Michigan no covers last 7 TY, and no covers last 12 Big Ten games. Tech edge-OSU, based on team and series trends.
INDIANA at PURDUE...Old Oaken Bucket and neither of these two are going to a bowl. IU no covers last 4 away from home TY. If Danny Hope chalk, however, note that he's covered just 2 of last 8 in role at Purdue. Boilermakers have won a d covered big in the last two Bucket battles. Tech edge-slight to Purdue, based on IU negatives.
TULANE at MARSHALL...Wave just 2-5 vs. line last 7 TY, but is 2-1-1 vs. spread on road. Although Herd just 2 covers last 9 TY. Herd 1-3 as chalk in 2 010. Tech edge-slight to Tulane, based on team trends.
SOUTH FLORIDA at MIAMI-FLORIDA...Canes just 2-5 vs. spread last 7 vs. FBS foes at home. Randy Shannon only 13-22 as chalk since taking over in 2007. Skip Holtz only 2-3 as dog TY but 24-12 in role since 2005 at ECU & USF. Tech edge-USF, based on team trends.
MISSISSIPPI STATE at OLE MISS...Egg Bowl! MSU won big LY vs. Rebs after losing big in 2008. MSU no covers last five at Oxford (0-4-1). Tech edge-slight to MSU, based on team trends.
FLORIDA at FLORIDA STATE...FSU hasn't beaten Florida since Ron Zook coached Gators in 2003, as UF is 6-0 SU and 5-1 vs. line since in series. Urban Meyer 5-0 SU, 4-1 vs. line against FSU. Jimbo no covers last 3 at Doak Campbell TY and surprisingly the Noles are just 1-10 vs. line last 11 hosting FBS foes. Tech edge- Florida, based on series trends.
KENTUCKY at TENNESSEE...UK hasn't beaten Vols since 2084, a 17-12 win by Jerry Claiborne's Wildcats. UT has won 3 straight and covered 4 in a row TY as it needs just one more win for bowl eligibility. Cats 1-3 vs. line away TY but were 5-1 i n role LY. UT has also covered last 3 in series. Tech edge-slight to UT, based on series trends.

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SOUTH CAROLINA at CLEMSON...Palmetto State classic. Home team has covered last 3 in series. Dabo is 2-2 as a dog TY but Clemson is 15-5 its last 20 as dog since midway in 2004. Tech edge-slight to Clemson, based on recent home series trends.
UCF at MEMPHIS...Look out for Memphis, with covers in its last two. Tigers had dropped previous 5 vs. number, however. UCF has won and covered last 3 in series and is 8-1 vs. line last 9 TY. George O'Leary has also covered 12 straight as a visitor. Tech edge-UCF, based on team and series trends.
CINCINNATI at UCONN...Huskies very much in Big East title frame (especially if WVU beats Pitt in the Brawl), while Bearcats need two more wins for a bowl. Home team had covered 4 straight in series prior to LY when UConn played Bearcats close at Nippert. Edsall 18-6 vs. line last 24 on board since late 2008, and he's 5 -0 vs. spread at Rentsch TY. Tech edge-UConn, based on team and series trends.
BOSTON COLLEGE at SYRACUSE...Old Big East game, these two haven't met since 2004, which is a shame because i t used to be a good rivalry. Spaziani has covered last 3 on road TY after dropping 8 of previous 9 vs. number away . Cuse 0-3 vs. line at home vs. FBS foes TY. Tech edge -BC, based on recent trends.
NORTHWESTERN at WISCONSIN...Teams didn't play in 2007-08, but home team has covered last 5 in series. Cats just 1-5 vs. line away from Evanston TY and no covers three as Big Ten visitor. Bret "Bully-ma" has won and covered five straight TY in brutal fashion. Tech edge-Wisconsin, based on team and series trends.
WAKE FOREST at VANDERBILT...No wins or covers for either of these teams since October 9 (Vandy 0-6 since, Wake 0-5 since). Wake 0-5 SU and vs. line away TY and outscored 251-62 in those games, but do we trust Vandy? Dores 2-12 last 14 against number as host, and Vandy just 7-14 as home chalk since 2000. Tech edge-slight to Wake, based on team trends.
IOWA at MINNESOTA...Floyd of Rosedale! Road team has covered last 3 in series, and Iowa won 55-0 the last time it was series visitor in 2008. Hawkeyes only 1-3 vs. line away TY but had covered 8 straight away from home previously. Note Jeff Horton has covered his last two for Gophers. Tech edge-Iowa, based on team and recent series trends.
NC STATE at MARYLAND...NCS now 9-2 vs. line TY for O'Brien, 28-15 his last 43 on board since early 2008. Ralph having a big year but only 3-3 as dog in 2010. Tech edge-NCS, based on recent trends.
NORTH CAROLINA at DUKE...eels have only covered one of last five (1-3-1 vs. line) against close-by rival, although that was last year. Butch 4-1 vs. line away TY. Duke j ust 5-9 as home dog since 2007 (2-2 TY). Tech edge-sl ight to UNC, based on team trends.
VIRGINIA at VIRGINIA TECH...UGH! Beamer now on 8-1 spread run last 9 TY. Beamer has also covered 5 of last 6 vs. Hoos. Tech edge-VT, based on team and seri es trends.
KANSAS vs. MISSOURI (at Kansas City)...KU has covered this game the last two years in KC. Jayhawks just had their three-game cover streak broken by Ok State last week, KU had been on 3-13 spread run prior to recent uptick. Tech edge-slight to Mizzou, based on extended KU spread negatives. VIRGINIA at VIRGINIA TECH...Beamer now on 8-1 spread run last 9 TY. Beamer has also covered 5 of last 6 vs. Hoos. Tech edge-VT, based on team and series trends.
HAWAII at NEW MEXICO STATE...Hawaii 10-5 vs. spread last 15 on mainland. DeWayne Walker no covers last 3 TY and 2-9 vs. spread at Las Cruces since 2009. Tech edge-Ha waii, based on team trends.
UAB at RICE...UAB no covers last 3 TY. Note that h me team has covered last 3 in series although teams didn't meet 2007-08. Owls back to home dog prowess, covering last 3 in role TY, now 23-10 in role since 2000. Owls 2 1-11 vs. line as host since 2005. Tech edge-Rice, base d on team and series trends.
GEORGIA TECH at GEORGIA...Georgia needs this one for a bowl berth and is 4-1 against spread at Athens TY, but note that road team is 6-0-1 vs. line last 7 meetings. Paul Johnson 12-7 vs. line away since arriving at GT in 2008, and 7-3 as dog (2-1 TY). Tech edge-GT, based on series and team trends.
MICHIGAN STATE at PENN STATE...Shades has delivered vicious beatings the past two years and has covered 5 of las t 6 at Happy Valley vs. MSU. Spartans no covers last 3 TY and this is only their ourth game as visitor. Tech edge-Shades, based on series trends.
OKLAHOMA at OKLAHOMA STATE...Bedlam, now for Big XII South honors. Sooners have dominated series lately, winning and covering last 5. But OU now 1-3 vs. line as visitor TY after Baylor win, andt Bob Stoops only 2-6 vs. spread as visitor since LY. OSU has covered last 4, 8 of last 9, and 9 of 11 overall this season. Tech edge -OSU, based on recent trends.
WASHINGTON at CAL...Winner alive for bowl berth, loser out of luck. Tedford finally lost an even-numbered year home spread decision last week vs. Tree, but Tedford has lost 3 of last 4 spread decisions vs. UW. Huskies broke 5-game spread losing streak in game vs. UCLA.Tech edge-slight to UW, based on series trends.
BYU at UTAH...Utes have mostly held the edge in recent years, 5-1 vs. line last 6 against BYU, and have covered the last 3 at Salt Lake City vs. Cougs. Utes 5-1-1 vs. line last 7 at Salt Lake City. Bowl-eligible BYU has won last 4 SU and covered 4 of last 5 TY. < B>Tech edge-Utah, based on team and series trends. < /P>
OREGON STATE at STANFORD...Beavers have covered 3 of last 4 and 5 of last 7 in series. Mike Riley now 14-3 vs. line last 17 away from home (4- 1 TY). Riley 5-0 as dog TY and 19-4 last 23 in role. Harbaugh only 2-5 vs. number last 7 on Farm. Tech edge-OSU, based on team trends.
LSU vs. ARKANSAS (at Little Rock)...Arkansas has covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 in series. LSU 2-1 as dog TY but The Hat just 5-5 in role since 2007. Hogs have covered last 5 and 8 of last 9 TY. Tech edge-slight to LSU, based on series trends.
TCU at NEW MEXICO...Note that Frogs are 6-2 their last 8 laying 30 or more. Locksley had covered 4 of last 5 in 2010 prior to BYU last week, but has covered his last two at home TY. Frogs had covered 4 straight vs. Lobos prior to LY. Tech edge-slight to TCU, based on team and series trends.
HOUSTON at TEXAS TECH...UH now needs this one for bowl eligibility. Tuberville 1-3 at home vs. FBS TY, TT is 2-4 as chalk vs. FBS TY, and Tuberville 2-9 his last 11 as chalk vs. FBS foes at Auburn & TT. Cougs only 1-3 as dog for Sumlin TY and 5-1 mark previous 6 in role. Tech edge-slight to UH, based on team trends.
NOTRE DAME at SOUTHERN CAL...The last Irish coach to beat SC was Bob Davie back in 2001 by a 27-16 score, Pete Carroll proceeded to win the next 8, including four straight big wins and covers at Coliseum. But ND covered LY at South Bend. ND 2-1 as dog TY and 5-1 last 6 in role, Brian Kelly 10-3 in role since 2007 at Cincy & ND. Lane Kiffin only 4-7 vs. line TY and Trojans mere 8-16 vs. spread since LY. Also just 2-8 last 10 vs. points at Coliseum.Tech edge-ND, based on recent trends. < /B>
LA TECH at SAN JOSE STATE...LT has won and covered last two meetings handily after SJSU had covered previous 4. Spartans now on 4-22 spread slide since midway in 2008 campaign. Sonny Dykes 4-1 vs. line last 5 on board TY. Tech edge-La Tech, based on team trends.
UNLV at SAN DIEGO STATE...Aztecs have covered last 4 and 7 of last 8 in series. UNLV 0-5 vs. line away TY, 1-10 vs. spread last 11 as visitor. Tech edge-SDSU, based on team trends.
IDAHO at FRESNO STATE...Vandals can get bowl eligible with two more wins. Pat Hill has covered 4 of last 5 meetings, but Bulldogs just 3-13 their last 16 as Dog House chalk. Tech edge-Idaho, based on Fresno home chalk woes.
UL-LAFAYETTE at UL-MONROE...Comin g to a bowl near you might be Monroe with one win here. U LM 4-0 SU at home TY (3-0 vs. line against Belt foes) and is 7-2 its last 9 vs. line as Belt host. An amazing stat this season is five straight covers on road by ULL. Tech edge-slight to ULL, based on recent road mark.
FLORIDA ATLANTIC at MIDDLE TENN ESSEE...MTSU amazingly could still get bowl eligible with two more wins. Blue Raiders, however, no covers last 3 and just 2-8 vs. number TY. FAU just as bad vs. line TY, now 1-7 last 8 against number. Tech edge-slight to MTSU, based on team trends.
KANSAS STATE at NORTH TEXAS...KSU 7-2 vs. line last 9 away from home and Snyder buried UNT a couple of times in past decade (2000 & 2005). UNT had covered three straight for Mike Canales prior to ULM loss. Mean Green s till only 1-4 vs. line at home TY and 6-16 last 22 as hos t. Tech edge-KSU, based on team trends.
ARKANSAS STATE at FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL. ..Break up FIU, now on course for New Orleans Bowl. Golden Panthers, however, just 1-5 vs. line last 6 as Sun Belt host (0-2 TY). ASU has covered 4 of 6 on road TY. Tech edge-slight to ASU, based on team trends.
WESTERN KENTUCKY at TROY...WKU has now covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 TY, while Troy on debilitating 5-game spread losing streak, 1-7 last 8 vs. number, 2-8 overall vs. sprea d in 2010. Note that Tops have also covered last two years in series. Troy no covers in 4 at Movie Gallery Stadium TY. Tech edge-WKU, based on recent trends.

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