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CHICAGO at MIAMI (Thursday, November 18)...Dolphins have now covered last 2 at home as they might be starting to turn around Sparano’s previous good road/bad home pattern (Miami had been 4-11 vs. line previous 15 at Sun Life Stadium). Bears "under" 6-2-1 TY, now "under" 16-8-1 in the Jay Cutler era since LY. Tech edge-slight to "under," based on "totals" trends.
OAKLAND at PITTSBURGH...Teams don’t meet every year but Raiders have covered last 3 meetings including major upset at Heinz Field LY as 15-point dog. Oakland has covered its last 3 TY, and Raiders "over" 3-1 away TY. Steel "over" 51-28 last 79 at Heinz Field. Tech edge-slight to Raiders and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
HOUSTON at NY JETS... Texans have now failed to cover last 5 TY. Houston also "over" 8-3 last 11 on board. Jets winning the close ones that Texans aren’t. Jets now "over" 7-2 TY and "over" 11-3 last 14 since late LY. Tech edge-"Over" and slight to Jets, based on "totals" and team trends.
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WASHINGTON at TENNESSEE... Titans bounced back with wins and covers after first two losses but fell short last week vs. Dolphins. Titans are also "over" 13-5-1 last 19 at LP Field. Tech edge-"Over," based on "totals" trends.
DETROIT at DALLAS... Not much home-field edge for Jerry’s Cowboys TY, 0-4 SU and vs. line at Arlington. Lions, however, continue amazing pointspread run with covers in 8 of first 9 TY. Jerry Jones also "over" 4-0 at home TY, and Lions "over" 5 of last 6 TY. Tech edge-Lions and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
GREEN BAY at MINNESOTA... Note that last five now "over" in this series, and Vikes "over" 5 of last 6 TY, although Pack "under" first 4 on road TY. Childress now no covers last 4 TY and 1-5 last 6 vs. number. Tech edge-Packers and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
BUFFALO at CINCINNATI... Cincy 0-2 as home chalk TY, 0-8 in role since LY. Now 5-19 overall as chalk since ‘07. Cincy also "under" 21-10 last 31 at home. For what it’s worth, Marvin Lewis 0-4 SU in career vs. Buffalo (no covers in last 3, althiugh this is first meeting since ‘07). Bills have covered last 3 as road dog TY. Tech edge-Bills and "under," based on team and series trends.
CLEVELAND at JACKSONVILLE... Brownies have won and covered by identical 23-17 scores the past two years. Cleveland 11-4-1 vs. line last 16 on board since mid ‘09, a full season’s worth of games. Browns now "over" last 4 TY, Jags "over" 7-2 in 2010 and "over" 8-2 last 10 since late ‘09. Tech edge-"Over" and Browns, based on "totals" and team trends.
ARIZONA at KANSAS CITY... Whisenhunt only 1-3 as road dog TY but still 12-4 last 16 as dog. Cards "over" 8-2 last 10 since late LY. Tech edge-"Over" and slight to Cards, based on "totals" and team trends.
SEATTLE at NEW ORLEANS... Seahawks have covered 2 of alst 3 on road after dropping 10 of previous 11 away vs. spread. Saints have won and covered last 2 and 3 of last 4 as they shake from their own extended spread doldrums. Tech edge-slight to Saints, based on Seahawks road woes.
ATLANTA at ST. LOUIS... Recalling old NFC West days pre-2002. Rams have won and covered last 4 at home TY and have covered 6 of last 7 overall prior to SF on Sunday. Falcs have covered 5 of last 7 away and have gone "over" last 4 TY. Tech edge-Rams, based on recent home marks.
TAMPA BAY at SAN FRANCISCO... Bucs have covered first 4 on road TY and have now covered 6 straight and 8 of last 9 away. Singletary, however, 9-3-2 vs. line last 14 as host.Tech edge-slight to Bucs, based on recent trends.
INDIANAPOLIS at NEW ENGLAND... Peyton Manning is now 5-1 SU last 6 vs. Belichick after losing previous 6 to Patriots. Belichick has covered the last 2 years after dropping previous 4 on line to Manning. Colts 12-6-1 vs. line last 19 on road. Tech edge-Colts, based on team and "totals" trends.
NY GIANTS at PHILADELPHIA... Recent edge to Andy Reid, who has won and covered last four vs. G-Men. But NY has won and covered big its last 3 on road TY. Coughlin "over" 8-3 last 11 on road. Birds "over" 18-9 last 27 since late ‘08. Tech edge-"Over," based on "totals" trends.
DENVER at SAN DIEGO (Monday, November 22)...Broncos have actually split the last 2 years vs. SD and won a Monday nighter at Qualcomm LY, wearing the old-style unis, 34-23. Still, Bolts 6-1-1 vs. line last 8 in series, and Broncos have only covered 2 of last 12 meetings since ‘04. "Overs" 6-2 last 8 in series, and Denver "over" last 7 as visitor. Norv "over" 9-4 at home since LY. Tech edge-"Over" and slight to Bolts, based on "totals" and series trends.
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