Thursday, November 11, 2010

NFL Betting Trends - Week 10


BALTIMORE at ATLANTA (Thursday, November 11)... Falcons 8-4 vs. line at home since LY. Ravens "under" 4-0 on road TY and "under" 10-1 last 11 away. Tech edge-"Under," based on "totals" trends.
CINCINNATI at INDIANAPOLIS... Cincy no covers last 5 TY and now 2-6 vs. number last 8 away. Bengals also "over" 8-4 last 12 away. Indy has covered last 5 and 7 of last 8 at Lucas Oil Stadium, the only L the throw-away game vs. Jets late last season. Colts also "over" 10-4 last 14 on board. Tech edge-Colts and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
HOUSTON at JACKSONVILLE... Jags won and covered both meetings LY as small underdog. Kubiak, however, is 10-5 his last 15 vs. line on road. Texans also "over" 7-3 last 10 since late LY. Jags "over" 7-2 last 9 since late LY but only 5-15 vs. spread last 20 as host (2-2 TY). Tech edge-"Over" and Texans, based on "totals" and team trends.

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TENNESSEE at MIAMI... Sparano's extended trends at home are poor (4-12 last 16 since mid ‘08). Titans 3-1 vs. line away TY has covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 TY.Dolphins "over" 10-1 last 11 as hostTech edge-"Over" and Titans, based on "totals" and team trends.
MINNESOTA at CHICAGO... "Overs" 6-2-1 last 9 meetings. Vikes 0-3-1 vs.. Line away TY, also "over" 5-1 last 6 away. Lovie 3-1 as dog TY but "under" 6-2 last 8 at Soldier Field.Tech edge-slight to Bears, based on recent trends.
DETROIT at BUFFALO... Resurgent Lions 7-1 vs. line TY, also "over" 9-3 last 12 since late LY. Bills no covers first 3 at Orchard Park TY. Tech edge-Lions and "over," based on recent team and "totals" trends.
NY JETS at CLEVELAND... Mangini 9-2-1 vs. line last 12 as dog. Jets are "over" 7-1 last 8 as visitor. Tech edge-Browns and slight to "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
CAROLINA at TAMPA BAY... Panthers had won and covered 4 of 5 in series before bowing to Bucs in Week Two. Carolina "under" 17-8 since late ‘08 and "under" 5-1 last 6 TY. Raheem Morris 0-3-1 vs. line as host TY and 1-10-1 vs. number at home since LY. Last 4 "under" in series. Tech edge-Panthers and "under," based on Bucs home woes and "totals" trends.
KANSAS CITY at DENVER... Broncos just 4-14 SU and 5-13 vs. line last 18 since bye week in 2009. Denver no covers last 4 TY and 2-7 vs. number last 9 at Invesco Field. Josh McDaniels "over" 11-2 last 13 since late LY. Five of last six "over" in series. Tech edge-Chiefs and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
ST. LOUIS at SAN FRANCISCO... Rams have covered 6 of last 7 TY an are 5-1 last 6 as dog. Rams "under" 6-2 TY and 9-2 since late LY. Singletary 9-3-1 vs. line last 13 at Candlestick. "Unders" 7-1 last 8 in series. Tech edge-"Under" and slight to Rams, based on "totals" and recent trends.
SEATTLE at ARIZONA... Seahawks now on road, where they are 2-11 SU and vs. line last 13. Arizona had won and covered last 4 and 6 of last 7 in series prior to first meeting. Last six between these two in desert have gone "over" as well. If Cards chalk note 4-9 mark in role since LY. Tech edge-"Over" and slight to Cards, based on "totals" and Seahawk road trends.
DALLAS at NY GIANTS... Dallas disaster continues, now 1-7 SU and vs. line in 2010. Giants have now won and covered last 3 vs. Dallas since LY, with all "over" as well. Giants "over" 16-7 since LY. Tech edge-"Over" and Giants, based on "totals" and team trends.
NEW ENGLAND at PITTSBURGH... Dating back to ‘01 AFC title game, these two "over" in 6 of last 7 meetings. Steel "over" 51-28 last 79 at Heinz Field though trend not as pronounced for Tomlin (16-14). Tech edge-"Over," based on "totals" trends.
PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON (Monday. November 15)... Skins have covered 4 of last 5 in series. Andy Reid "over" 9-5 last 14 away. Tech edge-slight to Skinsand "over," based on recent series and "totals" trends.

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