Tuesday, November 2, 2010

Week 9 NFL Betting Trends


CHICAGO vs. BUFFALO (at Toronto)... Bills have lost and failed to cover their Toronto game the past two years. Counting those losses at Rogers Centre, Bills 3-12 vs. line last 15 as host. Buffalo also "over" 4-1 last 5 TY. Lovie 2-1 SU and vs. line away TY. Tech edge-Bears, based on recent trends.
SAN DIEGO at HOUSTON... Norv 0-4 SU and vs. line away TY. Kubiak, however, no covers last 3 at home TY, and just 3-8 vs. line last 11 as host. Norv "over" 19-10 last 29 on board.Tech edge-slight to "over," based on Norv "totals" trends.
NEW ORLEANS at CAROLINA… Saints failed to cover last 4 and 6 of last 7 in series. Panthers "under’ 20-8 at Charlotte since ‘07, and "unders" 5-1 last 6 and 9-2 last 11 in series.Tech edge-"Under" and slight to Panthers, based on "totals" and team trends.
ARIZONA at MINNESOTA... Cards no wins or covers last 3 away TY, losses by 34, 31, and 12 points. Cards now 1-6 vs. line last 7 on road. Vikes 8-3 as home chalk since LY and 4-0 as DD chalk that span. Tech edge-Vikings, based on team trends.

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TAMPA BAY at ATLANTA... Note "unders" last four and six of last eight in series. Bucs have also covered last 3 at Georgia Dome and 5 of last 6 in series. But Falcs have covered 8 of last 11 at home. Bucs 8-3 vs. line since LY on road for Raheem Morris.Tech edge-"Under" and slight to Bucs, based on series trends.
NY JETS at DETROIT... Lions 6-1 vs. line TY. Lions "over" 5-2 TY. Jets "over" 9-3 last 12 since late LY. Tech edge-"Over," based on "totals" trends.
MIAMI at BALTIMORE... Sparano 15-4 vs. line last 19 on road. Sparano also "under" 10-3 last 13 away. Interestingly, Ravens "over" first 3 as host TY. Tech edge-Dolphins and "under," based on Sparano road and "totals" marks.
NEW ENGLAND at CLEVELAND... Browns 10-3-1 last 14 on board (3-3-1 TY) and Mangini 8-2-1 last 11 as dog. Tech edge-Browns, based on team trends.
NY GIANTS at SEATTLE... Pete Carroll 3-0 SU and vs. line at Qwest Field TY, now 10-3 last 13 vs. line as host. Giants "over’ 15-7 since LY and "over" 7-3 last 10 away. Tech edge-Seahawks and "over," based on Giants "totals" trends.
KANSAS CITY at OAKLAND... Chiefs have won and covered last 7 and 8 of last 9 at Oakland. Part of overall road trend in series (8-0 last 8, 13-0-1 last 14 since 2002!). Last 4 and 9 of last 10 "under" in series. Tech edge-Chiefs and "under," based on series trends.
INDIANAPOLIS at PHILADELPHIA... If dog, note Andy Reid just 2-6 in role since LY. He’s 1-3 as rare home dog since ‘07. Birds also "over" 11-4 last 15 at home (though "under" 1-2 TY). Colts "over" 6-1 last 7 as visitor. Tech edge-"Over" and Colts, based on "totals" and team trends.
DALLAS at GREEN BAY... Dallas 1-7 last 8 on board since late LY, if dog note Wade Phillips 4-7 in role since ‘07. Dallas "under" 10-5 last 15 away. Tech edge-slight to Pack and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
PITTSBURGH at CINCINNATI (Monday, November 8)... Bengals won and covered both meetings LY after Steelers had won and covered previous five. Steelers were also 7-0-1 vs. line previous 8 at Paul Brown Stadium. Marvin Lewis just 4-8 vs. line at home since LY and "under" 10-4 last 14 as host. Tech edge-Steelers and "under," based on extended series and "totals" trends.

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