Are the Browns really the worst team in NFL?

Robert Griffin III is doing all the right things in camp.

Are the Cleveland Browns really the worst team in the NFL?

If looking at odds board all along the Las Vegas strip, the answer is yes. And there's lots of recent history to support the notion.

The Browns haven't had a winning record since 2007 (10-6) and they haven't made the playoffs since losing a Wild Card game in 2002. They come off an awful 3-13 season finishing dead last in the AFC North for the fifth consecutive year.

So it's not hard to understand why the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook has them listed as the longest shot to win the Super Bowl at 200/1 -- double the next longest odds -- and also the lowest season win total at 4.5 (Over -155) -- the next lowest is Tennessee and San Francisco at 5.5 victories.

The crew at the CG Technology sport book hub office inside M Resort also don't have a high rating on the 2016 version of the Browns. They posted the first 16 weeks of spreads for every team in April and the Browns weren't favored in any of them. Not even one home game. The smallest spread placed upon them is a Week 16 game where the Chargers are 2-point road favorites.

CG has the Browns as their lowest rated team, just a point worse than Tennessee who are 3.5-point favorites in a Week 6 matchup in Nashville. If going by last year's awful numbers, the rating is hard to argue against as their average score was 17-27. They couldn't stop the run or pass on defense and their offense was almost as bad.

But action for Week 1 has actually come in on the Browns.

"One of the biggest moves we've had in Week 1 has seen the Browns drop from +8.5 to +6.5 at Philadelphia," said CG Technology's VP of risk management Jason Simbal. "But I don't think those wagers on the Browns were necessarily because of bettors liking them as much as they don't like the Eagles. There's a lot of anti-Eagles sentiment with smart money. One (respected) bettor bet against the Eagles in 13 of their 16 games we have have posted. And it doesn't just stop there with weekly games.

Read More Here......VegasInsider.com

2016 NFL season win totals posted in Las Vegas

CG Technology sports book at The Venetian.

LAS VEGAS -- CG Technology sports books posted 2016 NFL season win totals Thursday afternoon with no team higher than 10.5 wins and a low total of 4.5 on Cleveland. The NFL announced in early January all the home-and-away opponents all 32 teams will play, but when they play on the schedule won't be known until April.

From a scheduling standpoint, here is the breakdown of which divisions face each other in interconference action:
-- AFC East vs. NFC West
-- AFC North vs. NFC East
-- AFC South vs. NFC North
-- AFC West vs. NFC South

Here are the divisions that match up with each other for four games within their respective conferences:
-- AFC East vs. AFC North
-- AFC South vs. AFC West
-- NFC East vs. NFC North
-- NFC South vs. NFC West

The five teams set at 10.5 wins are Carolina (UN -130), Green Bay (-115), New England(OV-120), Pittsburgh (UN -125) and Seattle (-125).

The next highest total was set at 9.5 wins with Arizona (OV -120), Cincinnati (-115) andDenver (UN -120)

The Broncos still don't know who is going to quarterback the team. Peyton Manning and John Elway had a two-hour conversation earlier in the week to discuss the future, but it's still likely Manning won't take another snap for Denver. Brock Osweiler is a free-agent and could opt to leave for big money elsewhere which would leave the Super Bowl champs with a huge question mark at the most important position.

In addition to six games against AFC West opponents, Denver will have home games against Houston, Indianapolis, New England Atlanta and Carolina. They'll play road games at Jacksonville, Tennessee, Cincinnati, New Orleans and Tampa Bay. The Broncos have won 12 games or more in each of the past four seasons.

Read More here......all 32 totals on VegasInsider.com

Super Bowl 50 Prop Trends in Las Vegas

London based William Hill has 104 sports books in Nevada

CURRENT ODDS AND TRENDS FOR PRO FOOTBALL CHAMPIONSHIP 50 MVP

Below is a chart showing the current trends at the 104 William Hill Nevada Sports Books and Mobile Sports app for the Pro Football Championship 50 game MVP as of February 4, 2016. This is the first year that Pro Football Championship 50 MVP wagering has been available in Nevada.

Top 10 Most Popular Pro Football Championship 50 MVP bets by total # of tickets to win the MVP award:

PLAYER NAME	Opening Odds (1/26/16)	Current Odds (2/4/16)	% of total # of tickets
CAM NEWTON	-120	-160	13%
LUKE KUECHLY	25/1	16/1	12%
VON MILLER	40/1	20/1	11%
PEYTON MANNING	11/2	3/1	8%
GREG OLSEN	20/1	22/1	5%
AQIB TALIB	75/1	30/1	5%
DEMARCUS WARE	75/1	30/1	5%
JONATHAN STEWART	15/1	22/1	4%
TED GINN JR	18/1	22/1	4%
JOSH NORMAN	50/1	28/1	4%

 Top 10 Most Popular Pro Football Championship 50 MVP bets by Total $’s Wagered to win the MVP award:

PLAYER NAME	Opening Odds (1/26/16)	Current Odds (2/4/16)	% of total Dollars wagered
CAM NEWTON	-120	-160	40%
PEYTON MANNING	11/2	3/1	8%
DEMARCUS WARE	75/1	30/1	6%
AQIB TALIB	75/1	30/1	6%
BRANDON MCMANUS	50/1	25/1	5%
OWEN DANIELS	40/1	15/1	5%
CHRIS HARRIS	100/1	50/1	4%
BRANDON MARSHALL	100/1	40/1	4%
VON MILLER	40/1	20/1	4%
LUKE KUECHLY	25/1	16/1	1%

MOST POPULAR PRO FOOTBALL CHAMPIONSHIP 50 PROP BETS-UPDATED AS OF 2/4/16

Below are two charts showing the top 20 most popular prop bets for Pro Football Championship 50 by number of total tickets and total dollars wagered. The most popular prop bet by total dollars wagered is on the alternate point spread proposition for the Panthers +7.5.

Top 20 most popular #SB50 Prop bets of the 834 ways to bet the game (pre-game) by total number of tickets:

Top 20 Most Popular #SB50 Prop bets (# of tickets) @WILLIAMHILLUS 2/4/16

Will there be a successful 2pt Conversion? YES

Will there be a Safety? YES

Result of Opening Coin Toss? HEADS

Alternate Point Spread: PANTHERS -17.5

Special Teams or Defensive Touchdown? YES

Will there be a miss Extra Point in Game? YES

Alternate Point Spread: PANTHERS -14.5

Panthers Total Points Scored in First Half: OVER 13

Result of Opening Coin Toss? TAILS

Will the Opening Kickoff be a Touchback? NO

First Score of Game? FIELD GOAL/SAFETY

Will there be Overtime? YES

Alternate Point Spread: PANTHERS -10.5

Will the Opening Kickoff be a Touchback? YES

Both Teams with a 33 yard or longer Field Goal? YES

Will Greg Olsen Score a Touchdown? YES

Will Cam Newton have a Rushing Touchdown? YES

First Offensive Play from Scrimmage? PASS PLAY

Score in First 6.5 minutes of Game? YES

Total Players to attempt a Pass? OVER 2.5

Top 20 most popular #SB50 Prop bets of the 834 ways to bet the game (pre-game) by total dollars wagered:

Top 20 Most Popular #SB50 Props (% of total $’s) @WILLIAMHILLUS 2/4/16

Alternate Point Spread: PANTHERS +7.5

Alternate Point Spread: PANTHERS +14.5

Alternate Point Spread: PANTHERS +3.5

Will there be a Safety? NO

Alternate Point Spread: PANTHERS +10.5

Adjusted Game Total: TOTAL POINTS SCORED OVER 29.5

Will Cam Newton have a Rushing Touchdown? NO

Alternate Point Spread: BRONCOS +10.5

Will Broncos Score in every Quarter? NO

Wil Mike Tolbert Score a Touchdown? NO

Alternate Point Spread: PANTHERS -17.5

Total Field Goals in Game? OVER 3.5

Broncos Player with 2 or more Touchdowns: NO

Total Interceptions in Game? OVER 1.5

Rushing Attempts for CJ Anderson: OVER 13.5

Successful 2pt Conversion? NO

Alternate Point Spread: BRONCOS +7.5

Rushing yards for Cam Newton: OVER 41.5

Will the Opening Kickoff be a Touchback? YES

Will Game be Tied after 0-0? NO

Super Bowl 50 Prediction from Las Vegas

Can a case be made for the Broncos to win? Let's try.....

If you like Carolina to cover six points against the Broncos, we certainly can't fault you. They're good. Real good. As in the type of good that might have us remembering some of the great Super Bowl champs of the past the week prior to their eventual crowning moments. They've beaten teams by an average of almost 13 points a game, which has helped bettors cash against the spread in 13 of their 18 games.

What's not to like? They've got a quarterback in Cam Newton who accounted for 50 touchdowns this season, beating all but one of the teams he faced with a combination of both his arm and legs. His running ability has helped the team rush for over 100 yards in 31 straight games.

MORE: NFL live odds page | Public betting percentages

Newton rarely turns the ball over and the Broncos defense forces them often, which helped Carolina to an NFL-leading plus-20 turnover ratio during the regular season, and then tacked on a impressive plus-8 in two playoff games. You can't predict turnovers, but that theory is tested strongly with Carolina because they win that battle almost every week — 13 of 18 games.

The Panthers led the NFL in scoring, and took it up a notch higher during the playoffs by hanging 80 points against two of the better defenses in the league — Seattle, then Arizona, teams considered by most oddsmakers to be the top two rated in football.

How in the world can Denver stay in this game?

Read how here......TheLinemakers.com

2016 AFC Championship Game: Patriots -3 (EV) at Broncos

Tom Brady LOVES pressure; faces No. 1 defense with No. 1 sack total 

3:05 pm ET - TV: CBS
New England (13-4, 8-7-2 ATS) at Denver (13-4, 8-8-1 ATS)
Line: New England -3 (-120), 44

LAS VEGAS -- Let’s just start by saying that ratings-wise, the Broncos should be favored. That’s simply the approach from an oddsmaker position where we don’t believe the Patriots are 6-points better than Denver, and that’s what the number is telling us if taking out the 3-points for Denver’s home field.

However, bookmakers need to factor in public perception. The additional rating points added to New England for the AFC Championship Game are because of the public, which always believes what it saw last.

The books have to forecast who is going to be bet the most and go against the oddsmaker position, especially in games with such high volume. Sharp money pales in comparison to the amount Joe Public throws down on these games. And so far the books look to be right — 75 percent of bets have come in on the Pats -3.

But that doesn’t mean we have to follow the herd at the bet windows. You’re looking at nearly 5-points of value by taking the Broncos at home, which is one of the best home field advantages in NFL history. The home field for Denver has been so good through the years that the great Tom Brady is only 2-6 when playing in the Rockies, and his two wins came against third-stringer Danny Kanell and Tim Tebow.

To show the Patriots' huge ratings increase after last week, let’s take a look at a few recent games with similar spreads.

Read More Here (free pick).....TheLinemakers.com

2016 NFL Conference Championship Game Props

Demaryius Thomas receiving yards: 73.5 

WESTGATE LAS VEGAS SUPERBOOK

NFL CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME PROPOSITIONS

SUNDAY, JANUARY 24, 2016

PATRIOTS @ BRONCOS

WILL EITHER TEAM SCORE 3 STRAIGHT TIMES?
**Excludes extra points and 2 point conversions
***Includes safeties
YES -170
NO +150

FIRST SCORE OF THE GAME WILL BE:
TOUCHDOWN -150
ANY OTHER SCORE +130

TOTAL GROSS PASSING YARDS BY: TOM BRADY (NE)
OVER 285.5 -110
UNDER 285.5 -110

TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: TOM BRADY (NE)
OVER 2.0 +130
UNDER 2.0 -150

WILL TOM BRADY (NE) THROW AN INTERCEPTION?
YES -165
NO +145

TAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: ROB GRONKOWSKI (NE)
OVER 74.5 -110
UNDER 74.5 -110

WILL ROB GRONKOWSKI (NE) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES -145
NO +125

TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: JULIAN EDELMAN (NE)
OVER 79.5 -110
UNDER 79.5 -110

TOTAL COMPLETIONS BY: PEYTON MANNING (DEN)
OVER 21.5 -110
UNDER 21.5 -110

TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: PEYTON MANNING (DEN)
OVER 1.5 +110
UNDER 1.5 -130

WILL C.J. ANDERSON (DEN) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES +110
NO -130

TOTAL RECEVING YARDS BY: EMMANUEL SANDERS (DEN)
OVER 74.5 -110
UNDER 74.5 -110

TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: DEMARYIUS THOMAS (DEN)
OVER 73.5 -110
UNDER 73.5 -110

WILL BOTH TEAMS MAKE 33 YARD OR LONGER FIELD GOALS?
YES +145
NO -165

SHORTEST TD OF GAME
**If no td is scored--all bets are refunded
**Includes all returns
***Fumble recovery in end zone-- under is the winner
OVER 1.5 +105
UNDER 1.5 -125

LARGEST LEAD OF THE GAME BY: EITHER TEAM
OVER 13.5 -150
UNDER 13.5 +130

WILL EITHER TEAM SCORE IN THE FINAL 2 MINUTES OF THE FIRST HALF?
**(Includes safety)
YES -250
NO +210

TOTAL QB SACKS BY: BOTH TEAMS
OVER 5.0 -130
UNDER 5.0 +110

TOTAL POINTS BY: PATRIOTS
OVER 23.5 -110
UNDER 23.5 -110

TOTAL POINTS BY: BRONCOS
OVER 20.5 -110
UNDER 20.5 -110


CARDINALS @ PANTHERS

WILL EITHER TEAM SCORE 3 STRAIGHT TIMES?
**Excludes extra points and 2 point conversions
***Includes safeties
YES -175
NO +155

FIRST SCORE OF THE GAME WILL BE:
TOUCHDOWN -175
ANY OTHER SCORE +155

TOTAL GROSS PASSING YARDS BY: CARSON PALMER (ARI)
OVER 284.5 -110
UNDER 284.5 -110

TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: CARSON PALMER (ARI)
OVER 2.0 EVEN
UNDER 2.0 -120

TOTAL RUSHING YARDS BY: DAVID JOHNSON (ARI)
OVER 61.5 -110
UNDER 61.5 -110

TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: LARRY FITZGERALD (ARI)
OVER 65.5 -110
UNDER 65.5 -110

WILL MICHAEL FLOYD (ARI) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES +140
NO -160

TOTAL COMPLETIONS BY: CAM NEWTON (CAR)
OVER 19.5 -110
UNDER 19.5 -110

TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: CAM NEWTON (CAR)
OVER 1.5 -145
UNDER 1.5 +125

TOTAL RUSHING YARDS BY: CAM NEWTON (CAR)
OVER 36.5 -110
UNDER 36.5 -110

WILL CAM NEWTON (CAR) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES +150
NO -170

TOTAL RUSHING YARDS BY: JOHNATHAN STEWART (CAR)
OVER 72.5 -110
UNDER 72.5 -110

TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: GREG OLSEN (CAR)
OVER 62.5 -110
UNDER 62.5 -110

WILL BOTH TEAMS MAKE 33 YARD OR LONGER FIELD GOALS?
YES +160
NO -180

SHORTEST TD OF GAME
**If no td is scored--all bets are refunded
**Includes all returns
***Fumble recovery in end zone-- under is the winner
OVER 1.5 +110
UNDER 1.5 -130

LARGEST LEAD OF THE GAME BY: EITHER TEAM
OVER 13.5 -165
UNDER 13.5 +145

WILL EITHER TEAM SCORE IN THE FINAL 2 MINUTES OF THE FIRST HALF?
**(Includes safety)
YES -280
NO +240

TOTAL QB SACKS BY: BOTH TEAMS
OVER 4.5 -110
UNDER 4.5 -110

TOTAL POINTS BY: CARDINALS
OVER 22.5 -110
UNDER 22.5 -110

TOTAL POINTS BY: PANTHERS
OVER 25.5 -110
UNDER 25.5 -110

**PLAYERS MUST PLAY FOR ACTION

**NO PARLAYS

2017 College Football Championship odds posted in Vegas

Michigan opens up at 15-to-1 (only 5 teams with lower odds)

WESTGATE LAS VEGAS SUPERBOOK

2017 COLLEGE FOOTBALL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME
NRG STADIUM-- HOUSTON, TX
MONDAY, JANUARY 9, 2017

ALABAMA 6
OKLAHOMA 7
CLEMSON 7
OHIO ST 10
BAYLOR 12
NOTRE DAME 15
FLORIDA ST 15
TENNESSEE 15
LSU 15
MICHIGAN 15
MICHIGAN ST 20
OLE MISS 20
STANFORD 20
UCLA 30
GEORGIA 30
AUBURN 30
TCU 30
OKLAHOMA ST 40
OREGON 40
WASHINGTON 40
FLORIDA 50
LOUISVILLE 60
UTAH 60
USC 60
BOISE ST 100
ARIZONA ST 100
ARKANSAS 100
HOUSTON 100
IOWA 100
MIAMI FL 100
NEBRASKA 100
NORTH CAROLINA 100
TEXAS 100
TEXAS A & M 100
WISCONSIN 100
ARIZONA 300
BYU 300
CAL 300
GEORGIA TECH 300
MINNESOTA 300
MISSISSIPPI ST 300
PENN ST 300
PITT 300
SOUTH CAROLINA 300
VIRGINIA TECH 300
WASHINGTON ST 300
WEST VIRGINIA 300
DUKE 500
NC STATE 500
VIRGINIA 500
CINCINNATI 1000
COLORADO 1000
ILLINOIS 1000
INDIANA 1000
KANSAS ST 1000
KENTUCKY 1000
MISSOURI 1000
NORTHWESTERN 1000
SAN DIEGO ST 1000
SOUTH FLORIDA 1000
TEMPLE 1000
TEXAS TECH 1000
UTAH ST 1000
BOSTON COLLEGE 1000

**ALL BETS ARE ACTION

**GAME MUST BE PLAYED 8 DAYS WITHIN SCHEDULED DATE FOR ACTION