Showing posts with label 2015 NFL. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2015 NFL. Show all posts

Saturday, January 9, 2016

Wild Card Weekend Props from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook

How many yards will AP get in zero degrees vs Seattle defense?
CHIEFS @ TEXANS

FIRST SCORE OF THE GAME WILL BE:
TOUCHDOWN -145
ANY OTHER SCORE +125

TOTAL COMPLETIONS BY: ALEX SMITH (KC)
OVER 18.5 -110
UNDER 18.5 -110

TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES+INTERCEPTIONS BY: ALEX SMITH (KC)
OVER 2.0 +110
UNDER 2.0 -130

TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: JEREMY MACLIN (KC)
OVER 57.5 -110
UNDER 57.5 -110

TOTAL GROSS PASSING YARDS BY: BRIAN HOYER (HOU)
OVER 239.5 -110
UNDER 239.5 -110

TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: BRIAN HOYER (HOU)
OVER 1.5 +105
UNDER 1.5 -125

TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: DEANDRE HOPKINS (HOU)
OVER 90.5 -110
UNDER 90.5 -110

TOTAL QB SACKS BY: BOTH TEAMS
OVER 5.5 +110
UNDER 5.5 -130

TOTAL POINTS BY: CHIEFS
OVER 21.5 -110
UNDER 21.5 -110

TOTAL POINTS BY: TEXANS
OVER 18.0 -110
UNDER 18.0 -110


STEELERS @ BENGALS

FIRST SCORE OF THE GAME WILL BE:
TOUCHDOWN -160
ANY OTHER SCORE +140

TOTAL GROSS PASSING YARDS BY: BEN ROETHLISBERGER (PIT)
OVER 303.5 -110
UNDER 303.5 -110

TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: BEN ROETHLISBERGER (PIT)
OVER 2.0 +120
UNDER 2.0 -140

TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: ANTONIO BROWN (PIT)
OVER 104.5 -110
UNDER 104.5 -110

WILL ANTONIO BROWN (PIT) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES -110
NO -110

TOTAL COMPLETIONS BY: BENGALS
OVER 20.0 -110
UNDER 20.0 -110

WILL JEREMY HILL (CIN) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES +120
NO -140

TOTAL QB SACKS BY: BOTH TEAMS
OVER 5.0 -110
UNDER 5.0 -110

TOTAL POINTS BY: STEELERS
OVER 24.5 -110
UNDER 24.5 -110

TOTAL POINTS BY: BENGALS
OVER 21.5 -110
UNDER 21.5 -110
SUNDAY, JANUARY 10, 2016


SEAHAWKS @ VIKINGS

FIRST SCORE OF THE GAME WILL BE:
TOUCHDOWN -130
ANY OTHER SCORE +110

TOTAL COMPLETIONS BY: RUSSELL WILSON (SEA)
OVER 19.5 -110
UNDER 19.5 -110

TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: RUSSELL WILSON (SEA)
OVER 1.5 -140
UNDER 1.5 +120

TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: DOUG BALDWIN (SEA)
OVER 64.5 -110
UNDER 64.5 -110

TOTAL GROSS PASSING YARDS BY: TEDDY BRIDGEWATER (MIN)
OVER 193.5 -110
UNDER 193.5 -110

TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES+INTERCEPTIONS BY: TEDDY BRIDGEWATER (MIN)
OVER 2.0 +110
UNDER 2.0 -130

WILL ADRIAN PETERSON (MIN) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES -110
NO -110

TOTAL QB SACKS BY: BOTH TEAMS
OVER 5.5 +115
UNDER 5.5 -135

TOTAL POINTS BY: SEAHAWKS
OVER 22.5 -110
UNDER 22.5 -110

TOTAL POINTS BY: VIKINGS
OVER 17.0 -110
UNDER 17.0 -110


PACKERS @ REDSKINS

FIRST SCORE OF THE GAME WILL BE:
TOUCHDOWN -170
ANY OTHER SCORE +150

TOTAL COMPLETIONS BY: AARON RODGERS (GB)
OVER 22.5 -110
UNDER 22.5 -110

TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: AARON RODGERS (GB)
OVER 1.5 -160
UNDER 1.5 +140

TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: RANDALL COBB (GB)
OVER 53.5 -110
UNDER 53.5 -110

TOTAL GROSS PASSING YARDS BY: KIRK COUSINS (WAS)
OVER 260.5 -110
UNDER 260.5 -110

TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: KIRK COUSINS (WAS)
OVER 1.5 -150
UNDER 1.5 +130

TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: DESEAN JACKSON (WAS)
OVER 64.5 -110
UNDER 64.5 -110

TOTAL QB SACKS BY: BOTH TEAMS
OVER 5.5 EVEN
UNDER 5.5 -120

TOTAL POINTS BY: PACKERS
OVER 23.0 -110
UNDER 23.0 -110

TOTAL POINTS BY: REDSKINS
OVER 22.0 -110
UNDER 22.0 -110
**PLAYERS MUST PLAY FOR ACTION

NFL Wild Card wagering percentages in Las Vegas

William Hill sports books throughout Nevada do a great job providing so many wagering opportunities. Great menu!
CURRENT ODDS AND TRENDS FOR NFL WILDCARD WEEKEND
Below is a chart showing the current odds and trends for the four NFL Wildcard games this weekend. Bettors at William Hill US and on the Mobile Sports app are currently in favor of the Chiefs, Steelers, Seahawks, and Redskins covering in the percentage of point spread total dollars wagered.

NFL WILDCARD GAMES
CURRENT POINT SPREAD
% of TICKETS AS OF 4PM PST on 1/8/16
% of $’s WAGERED AS OF 4PM PST ON 1/8/16
CHIEFS vs. TEXANS
CHIEFS -3
80% CHIEFS
86% CHIEFS
STEELERS vs. BENGALS
STEELERS -3
67% STEELERS
53% STEELERS
SEAHAWKS vs. VIKINGS
SEAHAWKS -5.5
75% SEAHAWKS
81% SEAHAWKS
PACKERS vs. REDSKINS
PACKERS/REDSKINS PICK
54% REDSKINS
52% REDSKINS

NFL WILDCARD GAMES
CURRENT MONEY LINE
% of TICKETS AS OF 4PM PST on 1/8/16
% of $’s WAGERED AS OF 4PM PST ON 1/8/16
CHIEFS vs. TEXANS
CHIEFS -170, TEXANS +150
55% TEXANS
76% CHIEFS
STEELERS vs. BENGALS
STEELERS -150, BENGALS +130
67% BENGALS
68% STEELERS
SEAHAWKS vs. VIKINGS
SEAHAWKS -240, VIKINGS +200
71% VIKINGS
63% SEAHAWKS
PACKERS vs. REDSKINS
PACKERS -110 REDSKINS -110
63% PACKERS
81% PACKERS

NFL WILDCARD GAMES
CURRENT TOTAL
% of TICKETS AS OF 4PM PST on 1/8/16
% of $’s WAGERED AS OF 4PM PST ON 1/8/16
CHIEFS vs. TEXANS
40
54% OVER
76% UNDER
STEELERS vs. BENGALS
45.5
61% OVER
80% UNDER
SEAHAWKS vs. VIKINGS
39.5
59% UNDER
78% UNDER
PACKERS vs. REDSKINS
45.5
52% OVER
81% UNDER

Friday, January 8, 2016

NFL Wild Card Weekend: Where's the money going in Vegas?

Sports books seeing lots of Seattle action.
LAS VEGAS -- There’s one decision during Wild Card weekend that stands out like a sore thumb at Las Vegas sports books and of course it happens to be the biggest favorite among the four games.

“The Vikings are going to be key for us,” said South Point sports book director Bert Osborne, "because we’re loaded with action on the Seattle side, not so much on straight bets because we took some large money at +6 with Minnesota, but from parlays and teasers. We’re seeing our parlays being bet at about an 8-to-1 ratio on the Seahawks.”

There’s a variety of numbers to choose from around town with a low of Seattle -4.5 at MGM Resorts to a high of -5.5 The Wynn. The South Point, Station Casinos and CG Technologies are all at -5.

“We are going to be rooting hard for the Vikings,” said CG Technology VP of risk management Jason Simbal. “We’ve taken both sharp and public action with Seattle so it will be a big decision.”

Another angle Simbal has a rooting interest in with Minnesota is conference and Super Bowl futures. CG books don’t want Seattle to win it all because of risk while one of their biggest wins would come from another NFC team.

“We win really big to the Panthers in futures so ideally we want them to avoid Seattle next week and play either Green Bay or Washington.”

Friday, December 18, 2015

Does Steelers -7 seem too high against Broncos No. 1 defense?

What's the proper number on Steelers-Broncos game?
Last week the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened the Steelers (8-5) as 4.5-point home favorites over the Broncos (10-3) in their Early Week 15 lines suggesting they had Pittsburgh rated 1.5-points higher than the Broncos. Following the Week 14 games, that rating differential doubled.

“The Steelers would be -3 or -3.5 on a neutral field so -6 at Pittsburgh was the right number,” said SuperBook vice-president Jay Kornegay, who re-opened the game Sunday night at -6. “I actually think -5 is closer to being the right number. Minus-7 might be a little excessive.”

But that’s where his betting public forced the number. On Friday morning the SuperBook moved Pittsburgh from -6.5 to -7 EVEN while most of the city sits at -6.5.

“The Steelers rating has climbed just over the past week while Denver’s has dropped. The Broncos have a good defense, but its offense can’t run or protect the quarterback. They scored 12 last week and 17 the week before against two lousy defenses (Oakland, San Diego).”

Pittsburgh has the league’s No. 2 offense at 404 yards-per-game while Denver has the No. 1 ranked defense allowing only 272 yards per game, which is 35 yards less a game than No. 2 ranked Seattle.
Last week's game at Denver was a complete mystery. The Raiders, down 12-0 at halftime, ended up winning 15-12 with only 126 yards of total offense. The Broncos threw the ball 51 times and ran it only 21 times for 34 yards, an odd ratio for a team that led most of the game. And, Oakland's Khalil Mack sacked Broncos QB Brock Osweiler five times.

Read More Here.....VegasInsider.com

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Updated NFL Division odds heading into Week 15

Who will win the NFC East? Does Chip Kelly have to in Philly?
WESTGATE LAS VEGAS SUPERBOOK
2015-16 NFL DIVISION ODDS

NFC EAST DIVISION
COWBOYS 50
EAGLES 13-10
GIANTS 9-5
REDSKINS 9-4

NFC NORTH DIVISION
PACKERS 1-6
LIONS xxxx
VIKINGS 4
BEARS xxxx

NFC SOUTH DIVISION
PANTHERS ** PANTHERS LEAD IS TOO LARGE FOR ODDS AT THIS TIME **
SAINTS
FALCONS
BUCS

NFC WEST DIVISION
SEAHAWKS ** CARDINALS LEAD IS TOO LARGE FOR ODDS AT THIS TIME **
CARDINALS
RAMS
49ERS

AFC EAST DIVISION
PATRIOTS ** PATRIOTS LEAD IS TOO LARGE FOR ODDS AT THIS TIME **
DOLPHINS
BILLS
JETS

AFC NORTH DIVISION
STEELERS ** BENGALS LEAD IS TOO LARGE FOR ODDS AT THIS TIME **
RAVENS
BENGALS
BROWNS

AFC SOUTH DIVISION
COLTS 2-3
TEXANS 9-5
TITANS xxxx
JAGUARS 6

AFC WEST DIVISION
BRONCOS ** BRONCOS LEAD IS TOO LARGE FOR ODDS AT THIS TIME **
CHIEFS
CHARGERS
RAIDERS

**IN CASE OF TIE--NFL TIEBREAKERS WILL DETERMINE DIVISION WINNER**
**TEAMS MUST PLAY 16 REGULAR SEASON GAMES FOR ACTION.


UPDATED GAMES OF THE YEAR -- WEEK 17

SUNDAY, JANUARY 3, 2016


SAINTS
FALCONS -3

RAVENS
BENGALS -8.5

PATRIOTS -3.5
DOLPHINS

EAGLES
GIANTS -2.5

SEAHAWKS
CARDINALS PK

Monday, December 14, 2015

Bengals Super Bowl odds drop with loss of Dalton

Wildfire Lanes sports book on Sunset.
With Andy Dalton lost for at least the rest of the regular season to a thumb injury suffered in Sunday’s loss to the Steelers, the Bengals’ odds to win Super Bowl 50 have been fattened to 25-to-1 at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook. The Steelers’ chances to win it all, conversely, have been boosted considerably, according to the oddsmakers.

The Steelers, who beat the Bengals 33-20 in Cincinnati on Sunday, had their Super Bowl odds shortened to 6-to-1 at the Westgate, which makes them the co-fourth favorites to win it all, behind only the Patriots, Panthers and Cardinals. Pittsburgh is now the 2-to-1 second choice to win the AFC, and the Bengals have been dropped to fourth at 12-to-1 odds.

Read More here on TheLinemakers.com.......updated Super Bowl odds

Despite Patriots win, Vegas books show small profit in Week 14

Saturday at MGM Grand sports book before UFC 194
LAS VEGAS -- Prior to the Patriots dropping its second straight game to temporarily put them in the No. 3 position, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook had them as the massive 5/2 favorites (Bet $100 to win $250) to win the Super Bowl. After the loss, they fell into a tie with the undefeated Panthers at 4/1 odds. On Monday, with New England back in the drivers seat for home field advantage and with tight end Rob Gronkowski back in action, the Westgate dropped them back down to 7/2 as the lone favorite.

Last week the Patriots were looking at being the AFC’s No. 3 seed in the playoffs as they stumbled through their first two losses of the season. However, following losses by both Cincinnati and Denver in Sunday‘s Week 14 action, coupled with the Patriots 24-9 win at Houston in the late game, it’s the Patriots once again in control their own destiny with the No. 1 seed with three more games to play before the playoffs start.

Bettors all had a feeling that the Patriots wouldn’t lose three straight games and they came strong on them laying -3 all the way up to -4.5. William Hill sports books had 85 percent of the tickets written on the game on them as well as 89 percent of the overall cash wagered, which was by far the most one sided action of the day and took a big chunk of the profit the sports books had tucked away after grinding out the first 13 games.

“We ended up being a small winner, but it wasn’t a great day,” said Boyd gaming sports book director Bob Scucci prior to the Patriots win. “We had a lot of great two-way handle on each of the games and the games we had big public action on (parlays) we seemed to have sharp action on the other side so they both kind of balanced each other out.“

Scucci wasn’t lucky enough to have sharps balance out the risk on the Houston side like they did with so many other popular public games. He said the Patriots covering would mean giving back about half of what they had won on the day, but the game staying UNDER 46 would help.

Read More Here......VegasInsider.com

Friday, December 11, 2015

Holiday,NFR, no college football slows Week 14 betting action

Bellagio Conservatory festive in Vegas
The Chiefs have won and covered six straight games which is normally a sign that bettors will be jumping all over whatever spread is offered on its next game, but that’s not necessarily the case this week as the Chiefs are 10.5-point home favorites over the Chargers.

South Point sports book director Bert Osborne says enthusiasm for the Chiefs has slowed at his books this week for a couple of reasons.

“No matter how good a team is doing, when you put double digits on the board, it scares people off the game, or at least with the favorite. Bettors just don’t want to include double-digit favorites on their eight-team parlays.

“We’re also seeing business slow as usual at this time of year because of the holiday season. Maybe if this same situation with Kansas City were to occur last month, it would be a different story, but the betting public is usually cautious about laying double-digits.

This is the first week with no big college football games which will make Friday night and Saturday morning sports book traffic come to a crawl compared to the last 15 weeks. Couple that with bettors readying themselves for holiday spending, they’re being a bit frugal at the bet windows.

“We’ve been so jammed with the NFR (National Finals Rodeo) in town that we’re not getting our regular betting crowd, and then we’ve only got one college game Saturday (Army-Navy), so I don’t expect to see too much action on any of these (NFL) games until Saturday night and Sunday morning.”

Read More Here........VegasInsider.com

Then and Now: CG Tech Week 14 NFL numbers from April

The CG Technology sports book inside The Palms is beautiful.
Take a look at these NFL Week 16 lines offered in April at CG Technology sports books. They posted them about two weeks after the NFL schedule was released. Quite a bit of change with teams like Kansas City and Seattle, but for the most part they were right around being a number that proved true.

Week 14 (April 26)
Vikings at Cardinals (-5.5)
Falcons at Panthers (-3.5)
Saints (-2.5) at Buccaneers
Lions at Rams (-1.5)
Patriots (-1.5) at Texans
Colts (-6) at Jaguars
Raiders at Broncos (-10.5)
Chargers at Chiefs (-2)
Titans at Jets (-4)
Seahawks (-1) at Ravens
Steelers at Bengals (-1)
49ers (-2.5) at Browns
Bills at Eagles (-3.5)
Redskins at Bears (-4)
Cowboys at Packers (-4.5)
Giants at Dolphins (-3)

See all 16 weeks here............TheLinemakers.com

Big Favorites losing helps books to Week 13 win

Teaser bettors burned by Patriots and Bears losing outright.
The sports books have all kinds of ways to make money on an NFL Sunday against the betting public, but the surest way of all is to get a couple of the big favorites to lose outright and in Week 13, two of the biggest numbers went down.

“The Patriots losing turned out to be our best game of the day,” said South Point sports book director Bert Osborne. “We had give back a lot on the Eagles money-line just to balance out some of the teaser money we had extended on the Patriots, but it still turned out to be our best decision.”

The Eagles actually looked like the team we all thought they were during the preseason with its impressive 35-28 win at New England, a score that really wasn’t that close. Tom Brady and the Patriots offense continue to show the effects of not having all their key starters.

On Sunday, both tight end Rob Gronkowski and wide receiver Julian Edelman were out. The Patriots have now failed to cover its past four games, which not so ironically started with the Giants game which is when Edelman got hurt. Coupled with their Week 12 loss at Denver, Sunday’s defeat was the Patriots first of the back-to-back nature since 2012.

“After that,” Osborne continued, “the next best game was in the morning with the 49ers beating the Bears, who were one of the most popular teams with parlays.“

The 49ers improbable 26-20 win at Chicago, led by Blaine Gabbert showing everyone he has all kinds of athletic skills and can lead a team to victory just like he did with such regularity in college. Gabbert had been labeled as the worst back-up in the league, but he came up with his best NFL performance that included a 44-yard TD run in the late fourth quarter to tie it up 20-20 and then in overtime he threw a beautiful deep ball down the left sideline to Torrey Smith that covered 71-yards for the game winning TD.

With two of the biggest underdogs cashing and killing off a large chunk of the parlay and teaser risk and then also getting the Saints to cover 6-points at home against new public favorite Carolina, you might think the books had one of their better weekends, but that wasn’t the case.

Read More Here....VegasInsider.com

Friday, November 13, 2015

NFL Week 10 line movement from Las Vegas

 South Point sports books is always hopping with action.
There are 12 games on Sunday's NFL Week 10 schedule, but South Point sports book director Bert Osborne has his attention focused on two games that he knows will have a big impact on whether his books across Las Vegas win or lose.

"We took some wise-guy action on the Lions at +11.5," said Osborne, "but we're overloaded on parlays already with the Packers at about a 10-to-1 ratio (cash taken in) that's going to make a Packers cover have a lingering effect on the entire day."

What Osborne is talking about is the parlay tidal wave effect of one root game that can do the most damage. If Green Bay covers, he banks the Lions straight bet action from the wise guys, but the multiplying parlay odds of Packers action live on for the rest of the day and even into Monday night. If some of the other popular public teams come cashing in as well, it'll be a long Sunday for the books.

"Volume-wise, the game that has taken the most action has been the Giants-Patriots game," said Osborne who has the Patriots as 7-point home favorites. "The straight bet action has been good and we're not too overloaded on either side, but the teaser wagers have been through the roof on the Patriots and the parlays have come in at just over a 5-to-1 ratio on the Patriots. This is going to be a big game for us."

Even more so if the Packers cover earlier in the day.

So not only does Osborne have to root for the Giants to cover, for the sake of his teaser action, his book will need the Giants to win straight up to eliminate that risk. Surprisingly, he said the Packers, despite being a big favorite, aren't a big teaser game and that they've had good two way action on it.

"The Patriots seem to be tied into almost every teaser," said Osborne. "The next two biggest teaser games for us is the Panthers and Rams."

Just a quick back story: Osborne was always a favorite of NFL teaser bettors in Las Vegas when he offered 6-point two-team teasers while at Coast Resorts at only EVEN money and he always took big bets. After continually seeing the two-team teaser be one of the lowest earners -- sometimes a regular loser -- he adjusted his teaser pay chart up to -110 and then to -120 about eight years ago, which is still the best odds in the city -- most books start at -130.

Friday, October 30, 2015

NFL Week 8 Line Moves from Vegas: Packers backed big time at Denver

Lots of interest in Sunday night's game. 
LAS VEGAS -- The Sunday Night Football game with Green Bay visiting Denver has just about everything you could want in a regular season game beginning with both teams being undefeated at 6-0. You've got two marquee quarterbacks and two defenses that rank statistically as the best in the league. However, when you look at the betting patterns across Las Vegas sports books, it's clear who the public likes in this game and it isn't the home team.

Denver has one of the better home field advantages in football, and the wise guys have been there to scoop up +3-flat with Denver at places like the South Point when it was available Monday through Thursday, but the public is siding with the Packers no matter what the number is.

"Our biggest parlay game of the week so far is Arizona at about a 10-to-1 ratio (cash taken) and next is the Packers at 8-to-1," said South Point sports book director Bert Osborne.

The Cardinals are fast becoming America's (betting) favorites weekly and they're laying 'only' 5-points with them on the road at Cleveland. However, it's very telling how the public feels about Denver when the Broncos are at home -- a trend they loved the past three seasons -- and they still like laying points with the road team.

Who can blame them? Green Bay has covered five of six this season with a QB that has a 15-to-2 TD/INT ratio while Denver's QB has a 7-to-10 ratio that includes three pick-6s. Still, Denver is 4-2 ATS thanks to its own defense that has returned four turnovers for TDs. The public obviously thinks that is more about luck than talent, and maybe they're right.

The big difference with the top two public games is that almost three times the amount bet on parlays off the board have been on Green Bay compared to Arizona. It's already a big event on a Friday. With this being the final "get-back" game of the day, that number will only rise as most bettors stagger their bank-rolls by start times. In quite a few cases, the late game cash wagered comes from the ATM with hopes of salvaging some kind of profit on the day.

Read More Here.....All the Money Moves at VegasInsider.com

Friday, October 23, 2015

NFL Week 7 Vegas Moves: Are Panthers Really this Good?

Who are the betting in Las Vegas this week?
LAS VEGAS -- Perhaps the most interesting game of the week is Sunday night when Philadelphia plays at Carolina (-3) where there's a couple of questions bettors have to answer before going to the bet window. Are the Eagles really back to being who we thought they were and are the Panthers really as good as they're showing?

The Eagles have won its last two games despite quarterback Sam Bradford throwing five interceptions. Does that mean they're resilient, or does that mean they just played bad teams and got lucky? Can we really call two solid performances against the suspect Saints and Giants a true fix of the issues that plagued them in bad losses to the Falcons, Cowboys and Redskins?

Carolina (5-0) is one of five undefeated teams left in the NFL and have exceeded its rating by covering four of the five games, including a huge come from behind 27-23 win at Seattle last week. Are they overachieving or has QB Cam Newton finally come of age and ready to take his team rating into the upper-echelon of the league?

Las Vegas oddsmaker Kenny White doesn't think so, at least not yet. "They may be 5-0, but I still have about 13 teams rated higher than them, including the Eagles who I have almost 4 points better."

If White's rating assessment is correct, then the Eagles should actually be favored in this one. But that's where the public perception comes into play that sometimes trumps actual ratings.

Last week the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook had the Panthers as 2 ½-point favorites for this game in their Week 7 Early lines, which shows they thought Philadelphia to be a half-point better at that juncture before Carolina's upset win at Seattle as a seven-point road underdog. That goes a long way in the public's mind, and so far through Friday, they're firing away on the Panthers this week, which makes -3 the correct number no matter what any rating shows.

Read More Here.....VegasInsider.com

Wednesday, October 21, 2015

Westgate's Early NFL Week 8 Lines: Packers -3 EVEN at Denver

How will Rodgers fare against Denver's defense?
WESTGATE LAS VEGAS SUPERBOOK
NFL WEEK 8

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 29, 2015

DOLPHINS
PATRIOTS -10.5

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 1, 2015
LIONS
CHIEFS -2.5 @ LONDON, ENGLAND

VIINGS -2.5 -120
BEARS

BUCS
FALCONS -8

GIANTS
SAINTS -2

49ERS
RAMS -6

CARDINALS -4
BROWNS

BENGALS
STEELERS xxxx

CHARGERS
RAVENS -2

TITANS
TEXANS xxxx

JETS -3
RAIDERS

SEAHAWKS -5.5
COWBOYS

PACKERS -3 EVEN
BRONCOS

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 2, 2015
COLTS
PANTHERS -3.5

Thursday Night NFL Props from Las Vegas: Seahawks vs 49ers

WESTGATE LAS VEGAS SUPERBOOK
NFL PROPOSITIONS

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 22, 2015

SEAHAWKS @ 49ERS


FIRST SCORE OF THE GAME WILL BE:
TOUCHDOWN -135
ANY OTHER SCORE +115

TOTAL GROSS PASSING YARDS BY: RUSSELL WILSON (SEA)
OVER 232.5 -110
UNDER 232.5 -110

TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES+INTERCEPTIONS BY: RUSSELL WILSON (SEA)
OVER 2.0 -110
UNDER 2.0 -110

WILL MARSHAWN LYNCH (SEA) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES -130
NO +110

TOTAL COMPLETIONS BY: COLIN KAEPERKNICK (SF)
OVER 18.0 -110
UNDER 18.0 -110

TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES+INTERCEPTIONS BY: COLIN KAEPERKNICK (SF)
OVER 2.0 -110
UNDER 2.0 -110

TOTAL RECEPTIONS BY: ANQUAN BOLDIN (SF)
OVER 4.0 -125
UNDER 4.0 +105

TOTAL QB SACKS BY: BOTH TEAMS
OVER 5.5 -110
UNDER 5.5 -110

TOTAL POINTS BY: SEAHAWKS
OVER 24.0 -120
UNDER 24.0 EVEN

TOTAL POINTS BY: 49ERS
OVER 18.0 -110
UNDER 18.0 -110

Monday, October 19, 2015

Colts back-door TD good for Las Vegas

Books do well in Week 6 NFL action.
After sweating through 11 games in Sunday's NFL Week 6 action, most of the bettors’ success at the end of the day hinged on the “Deflategate” rematch between the Patriots andColts. There had been some give and take by both the sports books and bettors as they each won a few of the many thrilling games on the day, but the big payoff for both sides would come down to whether or not the Patriots would cover as 8 ½-points at Indianapolis.

"The Colts make or break the day for us," said Station Casinos sports book director Jason McCormick just as the game kicked off. "We're loaded on the Pats and hoping they come out deflated."

Deflated they would not be, but it took lots of nail biting by books and bettors and the spread was coming into play. The books looked like they were in shape on the Colts first when they would march down the field in a an impressive opening score and then were leading 21-20 at the half, but then the Patriots defense tightened up and held a 34-21 lead until Indianapolis got the back-door cover touchdown with 1:19 to go.

"That last touchdown by the Colts was good news for us. We had got as high as 10 with the Patriots," said the Stratosphere's Hugh Citron.

The good news for the house almost quickly turned into miraculous news for holders on Patriots bets as the ensuing on-side kick was nearly converted into a Rob Gronkowski TD. It was a moment in every sports book crowd where the audience collectively held their breath and the ultimate bettors' dream almost turned into reality. Gronkowski, in as part of the good hands team, jumped out to secure the kick for the Patriots and appeared to have a clear run down the sideline until accidently stepping out of bounds. The Gronk really looked as though he wanted that score.

The win moved the Patriots to 5-0 on the season and joined the Panthers, Broncos (6-0), Bengals (6-0) and Packers (6-0) as the only remaining undefeated teams. The Panthers and Bengals would be the only one of those teams to cover the number on Sunday, and for Cincinnati, who is now 5-0-1 ATS, they are becoming a thorn in the sports books side as bettors are flocking to a team that just keeps covering. On Sunday, the Bengals (-3) turned a close game at Buffalo into a 34-21 rout.

CG Technologies vice-president of risk management Jason Simbal described his books' day as "decent" and said their worst games was the Bengals and that they "actually needed Seattle."

Stations' McCormick said the day was "solid but not great as the Bills and Redskins let them down."

The Stratosphere had a similar story with the first 11 games.

Monday, October 12, 2015

Las Vegas sports books luck out with strong 49ers performance

Everyone had the afternoon 3-teamer at the South point book.
A three-team parlay pays 6/1 odds (Bet $100 to win $600) in Las Vegas and during Sunday's NFL Week 5 action almost everyone in town had a winning three-team combination in the afternoon games with the favorites of Arizona, New England and Denver covering.

“You just have to win one of those late game and things would be okay. Just one,” said theStratosphere's Hugh Citron.

All three of those favorites would cover the number and it set the books up with a huge risk figure heading into Sunday night's football game with the Giants as seven-point home favorites over the 49ers.

No one wanted the 49ers. Huge parlays were waiting to cash if the Giants beat down the traveling 49ers like everyone else had this season. Two San Francisco road games this season; average score: 12-45.

“We're looking at nearly a seven-figure loss on the day if the Giants cover with the OVER mixed in with the Rangers and OVER in pro baseball,” said MGM Resorts CP of race and sports Jay Rood as the late game was just getting started.

Following the Giants 30-27 win (no cover) and the Blue Jays 5-1 win in the ALDS, Rood and the rest of the sports book directors around town could take a deep breath of relief having just dodged a bullet. It still turned out to be a loss on the day, but it wasn't a complete disaster.

Things could have been much worse as the perfect storm was brewing with the public riding several popular teams.

Three squads -- Green Bay, Atlanta,Cincinnati – entered Week 5 with perfect 4-0 marks against the spread. Only the Packers would cover on the day among the three, but the timing of the late games and only three teams to choose from had everyone on the same parlay and books can't escape a 6/1 payout odds no matter how much wise guy money they might get on the other side.

The public had a no-brainer three-teamer in the afternoon. "Let's see. Three games kicking off after 1:00 p.m. PT, huh? Hmm, Arizona should kill the Lions. The Cowboys have no shot against the Patriots and Denver has beat the tar out of Oakland seven straight games. Yes, I'll have a three-team parlay for $20, please."

That type of betting sequence was happening all over Las Vegas from 12:30 to 1:05 pm on Sunday and for the third time in five weeks it was enough to beat the books. That's crazy stuff. The books don't lose in football consistently, but going 2-3 against the public is a pretty big deal in Las Vegas. The casino bean counters are now getting snarkier with their comments in weekly executive meetings.

I guess the comeback comment would be "at least I didn't lose $1 million."

Read More Here.....VegasInsider.com

Wednesday, October 7, 2015

Early 2015 NFL Week 6 lines from Westgate

Patriots laying -5 at Indianapolis. Deflategate rematch...who is still angry?
NFL WEEK 6

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 15, 2015

FALCONS -2.5 -120
SAINTS

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 18, 2015
BRONCOS -5.5
BROWNS

BENGALS
BILLS -1.5

CHIEFS
VIKINGS -2.5

TEXANS -2.5
JAGUARS

BEARS
LIONS -6.5

REDSKINS
JETS -6

CARDINALS -2.5
STEELERS

DOLPHINS
TITANS -1.5

PANTHERS
SEAHAWKS -7.5

CHARGERS
PACKERS -9

RAVENS -3 -120
49ERS

PATRIOTS -5
COLTS

MONDAY, OCTOBER 19, 2015
GIANTS
EAGLES -3 -120

Tuesday, October 6, 2015

Vegas sports books bounce back in NFL Week 4 action

Caesars Palace sports book was hopping for week 4 NFL action.
LAS VEGAS -- The Nevada sports books had lost two of the first three NFL Sunday's and needed a boost to kickoff the start of the fiscal fourth quarter after failing miserably in the third quarter with a rough baseball season. The NFL season was supposed to be the savior for the books, but it turned out to be just the opposite.

So when book directors were looking at the risk charts for NFL Week 4 action, they saw seven teams they needed to beat down as the gateway to a winning week, and those seven teams had combined to go 17-4 (81%) against the spread through three weeks. They were the popular teams. They were the teams blowing everyone out, covering spreads and making every regular betting Joe's wallet fat.

Seven Public Teams in Week 4
Carolina
Atlanta
Oakland
Philadelphia
Denver
Green Bay
Arizona

If the books were to lose five of those games, a losing day would occur. If they lost six of those games, it would be a disaster. If they lost all seven, it would be 'Black Sunday' with almost every big parlay cashing.

However, things cycled around as they usually do in pro football where the point spread eventually catches up with teams. The books would end up winning four of the seven games the public loved and it was enough of a hiccup in the popular parlay across town to make the books a winner.

"Solid day for the book," said Station Casinos sports book director Jason McCormick.
"The Jets and Dolphins all made us get up early, but it was worth it for the public who cashed on the Jets. The Bears, Redskins, Rams and Vikings were all good for the books."

The sports books barely blinked when Jay Cutler was announced as the Bears starting quarterback where the Raiders ended up closing as 3-point road favorites. But Cutler actually showed some heart and emotion in a 22-20 win. The Raiders were 2-1 ATS before the game while the Bears were 0-3 ATS. The Raiders are fun, the Bears stink and that's the way the public bet it.

Monday, October 5, 2015

Updated Super Bowl 500 odds to win from Westgate

Cardinals back up to 14/1 after loss to rams Sunday.
2016 SUPER BOWL 50
@ LEVI'S STADIUM, SANTA CLARA, CA
SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 7, 2016

SUPER BOWL 50 GAME LINE

NFC -2 TOTAL 53.5
AFC

SUPER BOWL
SEAHAWKS 6
PATRIOTS 4
PACKERS 5-2
BRONCOS 10
COWBOYS 50
EAGLES 40
COLTS 25
LIONS 100
SAINTS 100
RAMS 60
49ERS 500
CARDINALS 14
STEELERS 30
RAVENS 40
BENGALS 10
TEXANS 80
CHARGERS 50
CHIEFS 60
GIANTS 30
PANTHERS 20
FALCONS 14
DOLPHINS 100
BEARS 500
VIKINGS 50
BILLS 40
BROWNS 500
REDSKINS 100
JETS 25
BUCS 500
TITANS 80
JAGUARS 200
RAIDERS 100