Thursday, October 21, 2010

NFL Week 7 Betting Trends

PITTSBURGH at MIAMI... Interestingly, the road team has covered in Miami’s first five games TY (Dolphins 0-2 at home). Miami now 6-20 vs. line at home since late ‘06 (5-14 for Sparano). Dolphins also "over" 9-1 last 10 at home. Steelers have won and covered first two on road TY.Tech edge-Steelers and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
CINCINNATI at ATLANTA... Cincy just 10-16 vs. line away since ‘07. Falcons 14-8 vs. number since start of 2009 season. Atlanta also "under" 7-3 last 10 at Georgia Dome. Tech edge-Falcons and slight to "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
JACKSONVILLE at KANSAS CITY... Even after loss on Monday vs. Titans, Jags have made a bit of a recovery this season, now 3-3 vs. line after 5-11 a year ago and 9-23 the previous two seasons. Jags also "over" 5-2 since late LY. Chiefs also improved with 4-1 spread marks.Tech edge-slight to "over," based on recent Jags "totals" trends.
PHILADELPHIA at TENNESSEE... Birds have won SU their first 3 away TY (2-1 vs. line) and lost their first two at home. Note Andy Reid was 0-3 as road dog LY, but even so, counting last week’s cover at SF, Philly 11-4 last 15 in role. Titans just 4-8 last 12 as home chalk. Also "over’ 12-6 last 18 at LP Field. Tech edge-Eagles and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

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Lovie "under" first two at Solider Field TY, now "under" 8-3 last 11 as host. Bears just 5-10 as home chalk since ‘07 (0-1m TY). Tech edge-"Under," based on Bears home "totals" trends.
CLEVELAND at NEW ORLEANS... Saints 5-13-1 last 19 on board since mid ‘09. Browns 6-2-1 vs. line last 8 on road, and Brownies "under" 14-7-1 last 22 away since late ‘07.Tech edge-Browns and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
BUFFALO at BALTIMORE... Bills 1-4 vs. line TY. John Harbaugh 11-4 as home chalk. Baltimore "over" first 2 at home TY but "under" 4-2 overall, and "under" 20-11 last 31 on board. Tech edge-Ravens and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
SAN FRANCISCO at CAROLINA... Panthers no covers yet at home (0-3). John Fox "under" first three at home TY and 9-2 last 11 at home, and "under" 20-7 at Charlotte since ‘07. Tech edge-49ers and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
ST. LOUIS at TAMPA BAY... Bucs 1-9-1 vs. line at home for Raheem Morris, also "under" 14-8 overall since Morris arrived LY. Rams have covered 4 of last 5, all as dog, TY, and "under" 7-3 away since Spagnuolo arrived LY. Tech edge-Rams and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
ARIZONA at SEATTLE... Seattle 2-0 SU and vs. line a home, 1-2 SU and vs. line away. Seahawks actually 9-3 vs. line last 12 as host. Cards, though, have won and covered last 4 and 6 of last 7 in series. Whisenhunt 1-2 as dog TY but 11-3 last 14 in role. Tech edge-slight to Cards, based on Whisenhunt dog mark.
NEW ENGLAND at SAN DIEGO... Belichick only 8-7 as dog since ‘05. Norv 2-0 SU and vs. line at home TY, also "over" first two and "over" 9-4 last 13 as host. Tech edge-"Over," based on "totals" trends.
OAKLAND at DENVER... This has turned into a very odd visitor-oriented series the past two years, with road team winning and covering all four meetings since ‘08. In fact, Raiders have covered last 4 at Denver. Broncos also "over" 5-1 TY and10-1 last 11 since late LY. Tech edge-"Over" and Raiders, based on series and "totals" trends.
MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY... Vikings won and covered both meetings with Favre LY after Pack had covered previous 4. Last four "over" in series. Pack only 6-7 vs. line last 12 as host.Tech edge-slight to Vikings and "over," based on recent series trends.
NY GIANTS at DALLAS (Monday, October 25)...Giants won and covered both meetings LY and 4 of last 5 in series. Last 2 and 5 of last 7 "over" in series. Wade Phillips 0-2 vs. line at home TY, also "over" first 2 as host. Giants "over" 6-3 on road since LY and "over" 14-7 last 21 overall. Tech edge-"Over" and Giants, based on "totals" and team trends.

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