Friday, October 22, 2010

Roberts Week 7 NFL Plays; Chiefs and Seahawks Are The Best Bets This Week

Chiefs -9 vs. Jaguars: I loved this game laying -4 ½ with David Garrard starting and love it even more with Todd Bouman getting the nod. The Chiefs are focused and ready to take care of business at home as they have done all season against good teams. Now they get a bad team with a really bad third string quarterback. There could be some over confidence coming in, but the Chiefs overall game plan and team concept doesn’t allow for too many breakdowns.

Titans -2 ½ vs. Eagles: I know DeSean Jackson is just a wide-receiver, but his value to the team is greater than most WR’s in the league. He is their focal point of offense who makes big plays. Kevin Kolb will be at a disadvantage this week. I look for Chris Johnson to have his best game of the year and the for the Titans to roll rather easily as Philly has a hard time sustaining cohesion early on.

49ers -2 ½ @ Carolina: This has the making of being an upset just because the 49ers are traveling back east again. Three times going east for a west team in the first seven games is insane! Looking back at all their losses, we now know that all those teams are quality as each have established themselves in their other games. Finally getting a win out of the way with a poor performance against Oakland should let them eases into their game being more relaxed this week. Carolina is still winless and has had trouble moving the ball. Matt Moore gets the start this week which should improve the Panthers play, but not by much. Laying less than a field goal looks good here.

Seahawks -6 vs. Cardinals: I may have been more impressed by the play of Seattle on the road last week at Chicago than I was with any other team. The addition of Marshawn Lynch and sharp reads by Matt Hasselbeck leads me to believe this is the best team in the NFC West, which this game is a battle for. Pete Carroll will have his team fired up at home like a College team and should win easily against a team that has been very fortunate this season. I see a two touchdown win here.

I’m also leaning towards the Chargers and Buccaneers, but haven’t bet on them yet. San Diego is a completely different team at home and will play like one of the league’s best on Sunday. With Tampa Bay, I just see more value with them laying less than a field goal than taking points with the Rams like was the case when St. Louis traveled to Detroit. Rams are good and improved, but won’t get there this week.

Other games I have no intention of betting on, but would lean towards: PITT -3 (EV), CIN +3 ½, WASH +3, NO -13, BALT -13, OAK +8 ½, MIN +3 (-120), DAL -3 (-120)  

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