Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Week 6 NFL Betting Trends

SAN DIEGO at ST. LOUIS... Norv "over" last 4 TY and 18-8 last 26 since late ‘08. Bolts 0-3 SU and vs. line away in 2010. Tech edge-Rams and slight to "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
KANSAS CITY at HOUSTON ... Chiefs 10-5 vs. line last 14 as road dog dating back to Herm Edwards’ regime in mid ‘08. Kubiak "over" 6-1 last 7 since late ’09. Tech edge-"Over" and slight to Chiefs and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
BALTIMORE at NEW ENGLAND... Rematch from playoffs last January when Ravens got physical and won 33-14! John Harbaugh 10-5-1 vs. line as road dog with Ravens. Ravens also "under" first 3 away TY and "under" 11-5 last 16 as visitor. Belichick, however, "over" first 4 TY and 6 straight since late ‘09. Tech edge-Ravens, based on team trends.
NEW ORLEANS at TAMPA BAY... Saints 0-4-1 vs. line TY and just 4-13-1 last 18 on board since mid ‘09. Bucs, however, just 2-8 vs. line at home for Raheem Morris. TB "under" 12-8 since LY, and last three "under" in series. Tech edge-slight to "under," based on "totals" trends.

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 Falcs 14-7 vs. line since LY (3-2 in 2010). If Andy Reid a dog note 1-5 mark in role since LY (0-1 TY).Tech edge-slight to Falcons, based on team trends.
DETROIT at NY GIANTS... Giants 1-5 vs. line last 6 as home chalk (1-1 in new Meadowlands, however). G-Men also "over" 16-5 since LY (3-1 TY). Lions ahve covered 4 of first 5 this season. Tech edge-Lions and "over," based on recent Giants trends.
SEATTLE at CHICAGO... Seahawks 0-2 vs. line away TY for Pete Carroll, 1-10 vs. number last 11 on road. Bears now "under" 8-3 last 11 at Solider Field. Tech edge-Bears and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
MIAMI at GREEN BAY... Interestingly, road team is 4-0 vs. line in Miami games TY (Sparano 2-0 vs. number away). Sparano 13-4 vs. points last 17 on road. Sparano also "under" 8-3 last 11 on road. Pack no covers last 3 in 2010. Tech edge-Dolphins and "under," based on Sparano trends.
CLEVELAND at PITTSBURGH... Big Ben returns. Brownies, however, covered both meetings LY and 4 of last 5 in series. Mangini 6-4 as road dog since LY. Tomlin only 3-6 vs. line as Heinz Field chalk since LY. Steel now "under" 6-4 last 10 at home after extended period of home "overs" previously. Tech edge-slight to Browns, based on team trends
NY JETS AT DENVER... Jets haven’t played at Denver since 2005, when losing 27-0. Rex Ryan, however, 9-4 vs. line away since LY (4-1 as road chalk). Jets also "over" 5-1 last 6 away. Broncos 2-5 vs. line last 7 at Invesco Field at Mile High. Tech edge-slight to Jets and "over," based on recent Rex trends.
OAKLAND at SAN FRANCISCO... Raiders "over" 6-3 last 9 away. Despite slow start this season, Singletary still 8-3-2 vs. line last 12 at Candlestick. Tech edge-slight to 49ers and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
DALLAS at MINNESOTA... Cowboys look to avenge LY’s 34-3 playoff defeat when Romo was bounced around the Metrodome surface. Wade Phillips now "under" 10-4 last 14 on road. Vikes "under" first 3 TY prior to "over" vs. Jets last Monday. Tech edge-"Under," based on "totals" trends.
INDIANAPOLIS at WASHINGTON... Colts 1-2 vs. line as road chalk TY after 6-2 mark in role a year ago. Indy also "over" 7-2 last 9 reg.-season games. Shan 2-1 vs. line at home TY but his Broncos and Skin teams just 14-24 vs. spread last 38 as host. Tech edge-Colts and slight to "over," based on team and Shan and "totals" trends.
TENNESSEE at JACKSONVILLE (Monday, October 18)... Titans have covered 5 of last 7 in series. Del Rio 3-2 SU and vs. line TY but only 12-25 vs. number since ‘08 and 5-14 vs. spread as host that span (though 2-1 TY). Tech edge-Titans, based on series and team trends.

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