Steelers/Patriots Thursday night selection

Tom Brady likes to show off at home vs. good offenses. 

The Patriots have dominated this series, and the Pats-to-OVER correlation has been a strong one, cashing in six of the last 11 meetings. The OVER by itself has cashed in eight of the last 10.

These trends mirror the Patriots' tendencies when playing at home against good offenses. In the past two seasons, the Pats are 6-0 ATS at home when the total is 49.5 or higher. They’ve gone 5-0-1 to the OVER in those games. If you had blindly bet the Patriots/OVER parlay at 13-to-5 odds every week for the past four seasons, you would have cashed 31 times.

Pittsburgh, meanwhile, has covered only once in its last nine September games, but they should be respected in this spot, and laying a touchdown on Thursday night gives us pause.

Read More Here for free PITT/NE selection...........The Sporting News

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