Thursday, September 3, 2015

Tom Brady in for Week 1 action vs Steelers, Patriots -6.5 in Vegas

Tom Brady worth 6-to-7 points to the betting number in Las Vegas.
Tom Brady has beaten the NFL in the Deflategate court case, with U.S. District Court Judge Richard Berman nullifying the league's four-game suspension Thursday.

Berman announced his decision after the sides failed to reach a settlement after several weeks of talks.

Brady's suspension originally was upheld by NFL commissioner Roger Goodell in July after an appeal. Brady, meanwhile, repeatedly had disputed the league's ruling that he and Patriots equipment staff colluded to deflate footballs before New
England's 45-7 victory over Indianapolis in last season's AFC Championship Game.

The effect of the decision in Las Vegas means that sports books can use their full rating on the Patriots. William Hill sports books were the first to repost the Sept. 10 Steelers/Patriots game with New England at -6.5 and a total at 51. Only a few books had numbers posted this week as they awaited the ruling, but those that did were dealing -3 or -3.5, which was kind of a halfway move. If Brady was going to be out for this contest, the game would have probably been pick 'em.

From William Hill:
With the breaking news of Tom Brady’s four game suspension being nullified, William Hill US has adjusted the New England Patriots odds for their Week 1 matchup with the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Patriots’ odds to win Super Bowl 50.

Prior to Thursday’s morning news that Tom Brady would be eligible to play in the NFL Regular Season opener on September 10th, William Hill US had the New England Patriots as a 3 point favorite against the Steelers. The Patriots are now a 6.5 point favorite at the 104 William Hill Sports Books in Nevada and on the William Hill Mobile Sports app. The total for next Thursday night’s matchup also moved from 48.5 (OVER -110/UNDER -110) points to 51 points (OVER -110/UNDER -110).

As of 7:00AM PST, 81% of the total dollars wagered and 49% of the tickets on the game’s point spread had been on the Patriots side. William Hill US had originally opened the Patriots as a 6 point favorite back on May 1st. In early August, the point spread had dropped as far as 2.5.

The odds for the Patriots to win Super Bowl 50 have been adjusted from 12/1 to 9/1. The Patriots originally opened at 6/1 to repeat as champions this season and have received 6% of the total dollars placed on teams
to win Super Bowl 50.

More from William Hill:
· William Hill US has updated the New England Patriots Regular Season Win Total this morning from 10 (OVER -155/UNDER +135) to 10.5 (OVER -115/UNDER-105). The win total originally opened in May at 10 (OVER -110/UNDER -110).

· Tom Brady’s odds in the prop MOST REGULAR SEASON PASSING YARDS have now moved from 40/1 to 15/1. Andrew Luck continues to be the favorite at 3/1. The prop (containing 18 Quarterbacks and a Field option) is available for wagering at the 104 William Hill Nevada Sports Books and on the Mobile Sports app.

· The Patriots are currently the favorite in the AFC to win the AFC CHAMPIONSHIP (+325) and return to the Super Bowl. The Indianapolis Colts and Denver Broncos are each 7/2 to win the AFC in 2015-16.

· The Patriots are a heavy favorite to win the AFC EAST in 2015-16 at -250. Other AFC EAST DIVISION CHAMPIONSHIP FUTURES: Dolphins 3/1, Bills 13/2, Jets 14/1.

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