Cardinals - Saints NFL Week 1 selection

The Cardinals should come out fired up like they always do at home.

This game matches up the best cover team from last year (Arizona at 11-5 ATS) against one of the worst (Saints 6-10 ATS). It’s a new year, but the changes since last season favor the Cardinals, foremost a healthy Carson Palmer. There’s been a downgrade for the Saints, with their most explosive, dominating player – Jimmy Graham – out of the mix. Running back Khiry Robinson is questionable and C.J. Spiller is out. Then, factor in the Saints’ mediocrity on grass. While the total is based on the Saints’ overall performance, they’ve stayed UNDER in nine of their past 11 on grass.

This line has stayed steady at -2.5 since opening numbers were posted in April. There is value with the home team and for them to keep the Saints offense in check. We have a correlation play on Arizona and UNDER, and hooking these bets up in a two-team parlay or two-team 6-point teaser is not a bad idea. The plays are Arizona -2.5 and UNDER 48.

Predicted score: Cardinals 24-17

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