Friday, September 3, 2010

Las Vegas College Football Line Moves Through Thursday Night

By Micah Roberts

The first week of betting College Football games didn’t have the same impact that a normal week has with the sports books. For the most part, large action on the games have already been done because the opening week lines have been out for over a month now with some places like the Golden Nugget having lines up for key games since April.

Only three games saw significant action over the course of the last week with Clemson being the biggest mover from an opener this week of 23 ½-points to 26 ½. Because Clemson is playing North Texas and it’s an added board game, there hasn’t been much interest other than from a few sharp plays at low limits.

The M Resort and Spa saw some action on Connecticut taking 3-points at the big house of Michigan. The consensus around town is that most places have seen small action on Michigan which has added up to be large enough to offset any large money on U-Conn. The M currently sits at Michigan as a 2 ½-point favorite.

One of the moves that occurred a month ago that has lost some steam is Nebraska on the added board that shot the line up from Nebraska being a 35 ½-point favorite to 38 against Western Kentucky. As of Thursday night, there had been no buy back on plus money at the higher number.

Anytime there’s a movement on games involving MAC teams, you should always take notice. The Akron Zips have got some sharp play in their home opener against Syracuse getting 9-points dropping the line to Syracuse -7 ½. With no historical records to go by, but just commentating on past line movements I have seen, whenever a MAC team has a line move, it seems more times than not that the side that moves gets there thanks to some friendly reporting information from the Ohio-Kentucky region.

UCLA opened as a slight road favorite at Kansas State when the initial lines came out, but upon news of starting quarterback Kevin Prince possibly not playing, the line moved to Kansas State being a 2-point favorite. Over the last two days, news has come out that Prince has been practicing at full speed for the Bruins which has gotten some money their way. Currently, Kansas State is a 1 ½-point favorite.

In other good match-ups, TCU has moved from a 12 ½-pomit favorite over Oregon State to 13 ½ while Oklahoma State has moved up to 17-point favorites from 15 ½. Alabama without Mark Ingram has dropped a point and  half from the opener of -39 against San Jose State.

The big air move of the week has been LSU jumping to a 6 ½-point favorite over North Carolina amid all the suspensions from the UNC side. The game had been basically a pick ’em from the start prior to the announcements. No serious action has come either way since as some Las Vegas sports books still have the game in a circle with limited action being taken.

The two new quarterbacks at the powerhouses of Texas and Florida have seen the public shift their lines up a full point from their openers. It doesn’t take much to move a line once the game is past 20 points, but the sheer volume on those sides from small money has dictated moves. Las Vegas odds-maker Kenny White said earlier this week that Florida’s new quarterback John Brantley has the strongest arm in college football and that the Gators could even be better this year than they were last year with Tim Tebow which is pretty strong praise.    

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