Friday, October 9, 2009
Roberts College Football Selections: LSU Should Take Advantage of Florida
LSU (5-0) +7.5 vs. Florida (4-0): This is a tough spot for the top ranked Gators who will be forced to make a decision on Tim Tebow real quick. If he plays, he’ll play cautious and not be the battering Ram QB we have all grown to admire. If he doesn’t, it puts backup John Brantley in a tough position for his first start at the toughest road crowd in College under the lights.
The winner of this game has gone on to win the BCS title game the last three seasons. LSU has won 21 straight night game at Tiger Stadium and 32 straight on Saturday night games there. This looks like a perfect position for LSU to pull off the upset and getting points is a bonus because it should be a tough low scoring game.
Alabama (5-0) -4.5 @ Mississippi (3-1): Bama opened -6.5 and has been bet against thus far. Big game for both teams. Ole Miss has only playing at home once this year while struggling offensively on the road. Alabama has the weight of being a top-5 team on the road, a year when their falling more than normal. Have seen more consistency with Bama against good teams than what Ole Miss has shown against mediocre teams.
New Mexico State (2-3) +10 vs Utah State (1-3): This line opened 13.5 and has been bet down, but can’t find any reason for Utah State to be favored that high on the road other than their three quality losses to Utah, Texas A&M, and BYU.
Mississippi State (2-3) -1.5 vs Houston (3-1): The Cougars opened a 3 point favorite, but I have seen enough of Miss State to move the ball effectively in losses to LSU and Georgia Tech the last two weeks to believe they’ll play well this week. Houston’s deflating loss at El Paso as a huge favorite last week will still linger.
Nevada (1-3) -10 vs Louisiana Tech (2-2) Friday Night: After watching the Pack dismantle UNLV last week scoring 63 points, while having 3 players rushing for over 170 yards, I think they will continue to roll this week.
Duke (2-3) +14.5 @ N.C. State (3-2): Game opened 16.5 and has been bet down. This is the second straight week the sharps on picking on the Wolf Pack after driving the Wake Forest line to the favorite side, and they got there.
Last Week: 1-3
Season Record: 8-14