Saturday, October 10, 2009

Mike T's Week 5 Picks: 2 Dogs and Something Else

by Mike T.

Last week was great for anyone who likes to lay big numbers. They all got there. Unfortunately for me that's just not my style. Take last week's Saints-Jets game for example, I wrote "I do think the Saints will win by two scores or more but I just don't like laying 7 or more. I'm going with the over in this one". Because of my refusal to lay 7 or more it wound up costing me a little. I went 1-2 for the week putting me at 6-6 for the season. I going to try to get back to taking a couple dogs this week.

Falcons +2.5 @ 49ers
The niners are riding high right now and if you've been betting them you're doing well (4-0 ATS). I think that comes to an end this week. The SF defense was outstanding last week but the offense didn't really much ( not that they had to). I do not see a repeat performance from this young impressive disciplined defense. This opponent is going to bring a much tougher challenge to the 49ers than the likes of Sea or StL. Atlanta has had 2 weeks to prepare for SF as they are coming off a bye week. They bring with them a 100.4 rated passer a solid ground game and a solid defense.
Falcons 24 49ers 16

Broncos +3.5 vs Patriots
If in week 1,I told said that Klye Orton would have more touchdowns, a higher passer rating, and more yards per attempt than Tom Brady by week 5 everyone would have told me to check myself into a mental institution. Well a crazy as is sounds, he does. Couple that with the fact that Denver has only allowed 6.5 point per game and you have yourself a surprisingly good football team. Tom Brady hasn't put up the massive numbers most expected yet and I doubt he does it this week either. I can see this one being a low scoring game with the Broncos pulling it out in the end.
Broncos 14 Patriots 13

Cardinals -5.5 vs Texans
This is the only favorite I like this week. The Cards have had 2 weeks to prepare for this very average Texans team. To me this is the week that Arizona has to make a statement if they want to be considered a playoff caliber team. I think the Cards are going to come out firing on all cylinders taking an early lead and never looking back. The Texans do have a pretty good offense so we should see a shootout but I think the Cards will win the turnover battle which will put them up by more than one score.
Cardinals 34 Texans 21

1 comment:

  1. kinda like SF, but love the other two, especially AZ game over 50